Recent energy price pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven Canada's headline CPI to 2.4% year-over-year in March 2026, up sharply from 1.8% in February, prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 average inflation projection upward to 2.3% in the April Monetary Policy Report. This development underpins trader consensus around the 2.5–2.9% range, as markets price in the temporary gasoline-driven boost while anticipating moderation toward the 2% target by 2027 amid soft domestic demand and excess supply conditions. Core measures remain contained near 2.3%, supporting expectations that the uptick will prove transitory unless oil prices sustain higher levels. The next policy rate decision on June 10 will provide further clarity on whether sustained energy costs shift the implied rate path.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateCanada Annual Inflation 2026
Canada Annual Inflation 2026
2.5–2.9% 46.7%
3.5-3.9% 40.5%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.7%
$16,408 Vol.
$16,408 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
1%
1.0–1.4%
6%
1.5–1.9%
39%
2.0–2.4%
20%
2.5–2.9%
47%
3.0-3.4%
33%
3.5-3.9%
40%
4.0%+
33%
2.5–2.9% 46.7%
3.5-3.9% 40.5%
2.0–2.4% 20.0%
1.0–1.4% 5.7%
$16,408 Vol.
$16,408 Vol.
Jan 18, 2027
<1.0%
$318 Vol.
1%
1.0–1.4%
$355 Vol.
6%
1.5–1.9%
$656 Vol.
39%
2.0–2.4%
$468 Vol.
20%
2.5–2.9%
$502 Vol.
47%
3.0-3.4%
$13,465 Vol.
33%
3.5-3.9%
$287 Vol.
40%
4.0%+
$357 Vol.
33%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven Canada's headline CPI to 2.4% year-over-year in March 2026, up sharply from 1.8% in February, prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 average inflation projection upward to 2.3% in the April Monetary Policy Report. This development underpins trader consensus around the 2.5–2.9% range, as markets price in the temporary gasoline-driven boost while anticipating moderation toward the 2% target by 2027 amid soft domestic demand and excess supply conditions. Core measures remain contained near 2.3%, supporting expectations that the uptick will prove transitory unless oil prices sustain higher levels. The next policy rate decision on June 10 will provide further clarity on whether sustained energy costs shift the implied rate path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Volume
$16,408Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 18, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665Recent energy price pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven Canada's headline CPI to 2.4% year-over-year in March 2026, up sharply from 1.8% in February, prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 average inflation projection upward to 2.3% in the April Monetary Policy Report. This development underpins trader consensus around the 2.5–2.9% range, as markets price in the temporary gasoline-driven boost while anticipating moderation toward the 2% target by 2027 amid soft domestic demand and excess supply conditions. Core measures remain contained near 2.3%, supporting expectations that the uptick will prove transitory unless oil prices sustain higher levels. The next policy rate decision on June 10 will provide further clarity on whether sustained energy costs shift the implied rate path.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices over the 12-month period ending December 2026 in Canada, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by Statistics Canada.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) over the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly Statistics Canada report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Statistics Canada Consumer Price Index monthly report released for December 2026 (https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start), currently scheduled to be released on January 18, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
Once available, you can find this report by clicking on the "Major Economic Indicators" heading on the home page of https://www.statcan.gc.ca/en/start and selecting the “Consumer Price Index” report for the relevant month. The relevant figure can be found in “Table 1” under the "% change" column for the relevant month and year compared to the same month of the previous year.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Statistics Canada CPI news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3665
Volume
$16,408Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 18, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:22 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price pressures stemming from the Middle East conflict have driven Canada's headline CPI to 2.4% year-over-year in March 2026, up sharply from 1.8% in February, prompting the Bank of Canada to revise its 2026 average inflation projection upward to 2.3% in the April Monetary Policy Report. This development underpins trader consensus around the 2.5–2.9% range, as markets price in the temporary gasoline-driven boost while anticipating moderation toward the 2% target by 2027 amid soft domestic demand and excess supply conditions. Core measures remain contained near 2.3%, supporting expectations that the uptick will prove transitory unless oil prices sustain higher levels. The next policy rate decision on June 10 will provide further clarity on whether sustained energy costs shift the implied rate path.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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