Polymarket traders price a 57.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the sharp surge to 3.0% YoY in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven by energy prices leaping to 10.9% amid Iran war disruptions to oil and LNG supplies. This momentum exceeds the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters' median projection of 2.7% for 2026 (Q2 release May 4), with core inflation steady at 2.2%, highlighting headline volatility as the key swing factor. The 27% odds on sub-1.0% capture bets on geopolitical de-escalation enabling disinflation, while 22.7% for 2.8-3.0% aligns with revised analyst consensus. Watch May flash HICP (late May) and ECB June meeting for policy signals amid fading rate-cut hopes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
Eurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 60.9%
2.8-3.0% 22.6%
2.2–2.4% 11.3%
1.0–1.2% 3.9%
$12,547 Vol.
$12,547 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
40%
1.0–1.2%
4%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
1%
1.9–2.1%
16%
2.2–2.4%
11%
2.5–2.7%
11%
2.8-3.0%
23%
3.1%+
65%
3.1%+ 60.9%
2.8-3.0% 22.6%
2.2–2.4% 11.3%
1.0–1.2% 3.9%
$12,547 Vol.
$12,547 Vol.
Jan 19, 2027
<1.0%
$1,069 Vol.
40%
1.0–1.2%
$769 Vol.
4%
1.3–1.5%
$1,910 Vol.
<1%
1.6–1.8%
$1,019 Vol.
1%
1.9–2.1%
$2,821 Vol.
16%
2.2–2.4%
$1,021 Vol.
11%
2.5–2.7%
$1,139 Vol.
11%
2.8-3.0%
$635 Vol.
23%
3.1%+
$2,163 Vol.
65%
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlPolymarket traders price a 57.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the sharp surge to 3.0% YoY in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven by energy prices leaping to 10.9% amid Iran war disruptions to oil and LNG supplies. This momentum exceeds the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters' median projection of 2.7% for 2026 (Q2 release May 4), with core inflation steady at 2.2%, highlighting headline volatility as the key swing factor. The 27% odds on sub-1.0% capture bets on geopolitical de-escalation enabling disinflation, while 22.7% for 2.8-3.0% aligns with revised analyst consensus. Watch May flash HICP (late May) and ECB June meeting for policy signals amid fading rate-cut hopes.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Volume
$12,547Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 19, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.htmlPolymarket traders price a 57.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the sharp surge to 3.0% YoY in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven by energy prices leaping to 10.9% amid Iran war disruptions to oil and LNG supplies. This momentum exceeds the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters' median projection of 2.7% for 2026 (Q2 release May 4), with core inflation steady at 2.2%, highlighting headline volatility as the key swing factor. The 27% odds on sub-1.0% capture bets on geopolitical de-escalation enabling disinflation, while 22.7% for 2.8-3.0% aligns with revised analyst consensus. Watch May flash HICP (late May) and ECB June meeting for policy signals amid fading rate-cut hopes.
This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in the Eurozone over the 12-month period ending December 2026 as reported by Eurostat.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Volume
$12,547Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 19, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Polymarket traders price a 57.5% implied probability for Eurozone annual HICP inflation exceeding 3.1% in 2026, reflecting the sharp surge to 3.0% YoY in April—up from 2.6% in March—driven by energy prices leaping to 10.9% amid Iran war disruptions to oil and LNG supplies. This momentum exceeds the ECB Survey of Professional Forecasters' median projection of 2.7% for 2026 (Q2 release May 4), with core inflation steady at 2.2%, highlighting headline volatility as the key swing factor. The 27% odds on sub-1.0% capture bets on geopolitical de-escalation enabling disinflation, while 22.7% for 2.8-3.0% aligns with revised analyst consensus. Watch May flash HICP (late May) and ECB June meeting for policy signals amid fading rate-cut hopes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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