Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026, revised sharply higher to 5.1% annualized on September 16 from 4.4% days earlier, reflect stronger personal consumption expenditures and government spending data, positioning the ≥3.0% outcome as the market-implied leader at 49.5%. This aligns with resilient labor market conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and steady payroll gains, alongside FOMC September projections showing 2.3% full-year real GDP growth. Elevated PCE inflation around 3.7% for 2026 introduces policy uncertainty that could influence final readings, though the nowcast's momentum supports trader consensus around above-trend quarterly expansion ahead of the BEA advance estimate.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update≥3.0% 50%
2.0–2.5% 21%
2.5–3.0% 13%
1.5–2.0% 9%
$27,965 Vol.
$27,965 Vol.
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
3%
0.5–1.0%
4%
1.0–1.5%
5%
1.5–2.0%
9%
2.0–2.5%
21%
2.5–3.0%
13%
≥3.0%
50%
≥3.0% 50%
2.0–2.5% 21%
2.5–3.0% 13%
1.5–2.0% 9%
$27,965 Vol.
$27,965 Vol.
Oct 29, 2026
<0.5%
$906 Vol.
3%
0.5–1.0%
$559 Vol.
4%
1.0–1.5%
$660 Vol.
5%
1.5–2.0%
$718 Vol.
9%
2.0–2.5%
$1,890 Vol.
21%
2.5–3.0%
$3,411 Vol.
13%
≥3.0%
$19,822 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026, revised sharply higher to 5.1% annualized on September 16 from 4.4% days earlier, reflect stronger personal consumption expenditures and government spending data, positioning the ≥3.0% outcome as the market-implied leader at 49.5%. This aligns with resilient labor market conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and steady payroll gains, alongside FOMC September projections showing 2.3% full-year real GDP growth. Elevated PCE inflation around 3.7% for 2026 introduces policy uncertainty that could influence final readings, though the nowcast's momentum supports trader consensus around above-trend quarterly expansion ahead of the BEA advance estimate.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ET
Volume
$27,965Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026, revised sharply higher to 5.1% annualized on September 16 from 4.4% days earlier, reflect stronger personal consumption expenditures and government spending data, positioning the ≥3.0% outcome as the market-implied leader at 49.5%. This aligns with resilient labor market conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and steady payroll gains, alongside FOMC September projections showing 2.3% full-year real GDP growth. Elevated PCE inflation around 3.7% for 2026 introduces policy uncertainty that could influence final readings, though the nowcast's momentum supports trader consensus around above-trend quarterly expansion ahead of the BEA advance estimate.
This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP "Advance Estimate" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for October 29, 2026.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product
Note: data in the first available GDP report is labelled by the BEA as an "Advance Estimate". The data found in the advance estimate will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.
If the advance estimate is not released, this market will resolve based on the first officially published figure for real GDP for the specified quarter (e.g., the ‘second’ or ‘third’ estimate, etc.), as reported by the BEA. If no official estimate is released by the date the next quarter's advanced estimate is scheduled to be published, this market will resolve based on the most recent previous figure released by the BEA.
Volume
$27,965Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 29, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jul 31, 2026, 5:38 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Atlanta Fed GDPNow nowcasts for Q3 2026, revised sharply higher to 5.1% annualized on September 16 from 4.4% days earlier, reflect stronger personal consumption expenditures and government spending data, positioning the ≥3.0% outcome as the market-implied leader at 49.5%. This aligns with resilient labor market conditions, including a 4.1% unemployment rate and steady payroll gains, alongside FOMC September projections showing 2.3% full-year real GDP growth. Elevated PCE inflation around 3.7% for 2026 introduces policy uncertainty that could influence final readings, though the nowcast's momentum supports trader consensus around above-trend quarterly expansion ahead of the BEA advance estimate.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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