Recent July CPI data at +0.1% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, alongside Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to a 0.35% August reading, have left trader sentiment closely divided between 0.3% and 0.4% outcomes on Polymarket. Persistent shelter costs, energy price volatility from geopolitical tensions, and potential tariff pass-through effects create uncertainty around the headline print, while core measures show modest containment near 2.5%. This balanced pricing reflects aggregated capital at risk weighing soft-landing labor trends against upside risks to inflation above the Fed’s 2% target ahead of the next release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update0.3% 38%
0.4% 34%
≥0.5% 22%
0.2% 8%
≤-0.3%
3%
-0.2%
5%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
2%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
8%
0.3%
38%
0.4%
34%
≥0.5%
22%
0.3% 38%
0.4% 34%
≥0.5% 22%
0.2% 8%
≤-0.3%
3%
-0.2%
5%
-0.1%
1%
0.0%
2%
0.1%
5%
0.2%
8%
0.3%
38%
0.4%
34%
≥0.5%
22%
This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 10:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the one-month percent change in the seasonally adjusted Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) in August 2026 according to the monthly BLS report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Consumer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/bls/news-release/cpi.htm), currently scheduled to be released on September 11, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Consumer Price Index for All Urban Consumers (CPI-U) which BLS reports to one decimal point (e.g. 0.4%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next CPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July CPI data at +0.1% month-over-month and 3.4% year-over-year, alongside Cleveland Fed nowcasts pointing to a 0.35% August reading, have left trader sentiment closely divided between 0.3% and 0.4% outcomes on Polymarket. Persistent shelter costs, energy price volatility from geopolitical tensions, and potential tariff pass-through effects create uncertainty around the headline print, while core measures show modest containment near 2.5%. This balanced pricing reflects aggregated capital at risk weighing soft-landing labor trends against upside risks to inflation above the Fed’s 2% target ahead of the next release.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update

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