Recent upward revisions to Argentina's 2026 inflation outlook have anchored trader expectations near the 30-34.9% range, now carrying a 30.1% market-implied probability. The central bank's May survey lifted the median analyst forecast to 30.5%, up 1.4 percentage points, citing persistent early-year price pressures, elevated energy costs, and a slightly stronger peso than previously modeled. Year-to-date prints remain elevated at 32.4% year-over-year through April, supporting the 25-29.9% and 35-39.9% brackets at 23.5% and 17.5% respectively. With the leading outcome holding only a modest edge, positioning reflects uncertainty over the pace of disinflation through year-end, particularly ahead of further monthly data releases and potential adjustments in monetary policy stance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update30.0-34.9% 23.5%
40-44.9% 21.4%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 17.2%
BAGO
BAGO
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
7%
20-24.9%
17%
25-29.9%
24%
30.0-34.9%
30%
35–39.9%
17%
40-44.9%
21%
45%+
9%
30.0-34.9% 23.5%
40-44.9% 21.4%
25-29.9% 20%
20-24.9% 17.2%
BAGO
BAGO
Jan 10, 2027
<20%
$2,516 Vol.
7%
20-24.9%
$1,429 Vol.
17%
25-29.9%
$1,626 Vol.
24%
30.0-34.9%
$976 Vol.
30%
35–39.9%
$1,121 Vol.
17%
40-44.9%
$928 Vol.
21%
45%+
$1,156 Vol.
9%
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent upward revisions to Argentina's 2026 inflation outlook have anchored trader expectations near the 30-34.9% range, now carrying a 30.1% market-implied probability. The central bank's May survey lifted the median analyst forecast to 30.5%, up 1.4 percentage points, citing persistent early-year price pressures, elevated energy costs, and a slightly stronger peso than previously modeled. Year-to-date prints remain elevated at 32.4% year-over-year through April, supporting the 25-29.9% and 35-39.9% brackets at 23.5% and 17.5% respectively. With the leading outcome holding only a modest edge, positioning reflects uncertainty over the pace of disinflation through year-end, particularly ahead of further monthly data releases and potential adjustments in monetary policy stance.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ET
Volume
$9,752Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 10, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.Recent upward revisions to Argentina's 2026 inflation outlook have anchored trader expectations near the 30-34.9% range, now carrying a 30.1% market-implied probability. The central bank's May survey lifted the median analyst forecast to 30.5%, up 1.4 percentage points, citing persistent early-year price pressures, elevated energy costs, and a slightly stronger peso than previously modeled. Year-to-date prints remain elevated at 32.4% year-over-year through April, supporting the 25-29.9% and 35-39.9% brackets at 23.5% and 17.5% respectively. With the leading outcome holding only a modest edge, positioning reflects uncertainty over the pace of disinflation through year-end, particularly ahead of further monthly data releases and potential adjustments in monetary policy stance.
This is a market about Argentinian inflation over the 12-month period ending December 2026, before seasonal adjustment, as reported by the National Institute of Statistics and Census (INDEC) of Argentina.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Consumer Price Index (CPI / IPC) over the 12-month period ending in December 2026 (Variación % interanual Total nacional) according to the monthly INDEC report.
The resolution source for this market will be the INDEC Consumer Price Index report released for December 2026 (https://www.indec.gob.ar/), expected to be released in January 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report by clicking on the “Precios al consumidor” option on the home page of https://www.indec.gob.ar/, and searching the pdf for the figure under “Variación % interanual Total nacional”.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly INDEC CPI (IPC) news release which reports inflation over 12 month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 33.6%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Volume
$9,752Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 10, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jan 21, 2026, 7:15 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent upward revisions to Argentina's 2026 inflation outlook have anchored trader expectations near the 30-34.9% range, now carrying a 30.1% market-implied probability. The central bank's May survey lifted the median analyst forecast to 30.5%, up 1.4 percentage points, citing persistent early-year price pressures, elevated energy costs, and a slightly stronger peso than previously modeled. Year-to-date prints remain elevated at 32.4% year-over-year through April, supporting the 25-29.9% and 35-39.9% brackets at 23.5% and 17.5% respectively. With the leading outcome holding only a modest edge, positioning reflects uncertainty over the pace of disinflation through year-end, particularly ahead of further monthly data releases and potential adjustments in monetary policy stance.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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