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Politika·Argentina

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

icon for Argentina Presidential Election Winner
Politika·Argentina

Argentina Presidential Election Winner

Javier Milei 52%

Axel Kicillof 40%

Sergio Massa 5.4%

Myriam Bregman 1.4%

Polymarket

$524,776 Vol.

Javier Milei 52%

Axel Kicillof 40%

Sergio Massa 5.4%

Myriam Bregman 1.4%

Polymarket

$524,776 Vol.

icon for Javier Milei

Javier Milei

$136,704 Vol.

52%

icon for Axel Kicillof

Axel Kicillof

$101,534 Vol.

40%

icon for Sergio Massa

Sergio Massa

$46,537 Vol.

5%

icon for Myriam Bregman

Myriam Bregman

$34,722 Vol.

1%

icon for Dante Gebel

Dante Gebel

$33,384 Vol.

1%

icon for Juan Grabois

Juan Grabois

$30,430 Vol.

1%

icon for Victoria Villarruel

Victoria Villarruel

$28,437 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Macri

Mauricio Macri

$36,701 Vol.

<1%

icon for Esteban Bullrich

Esteban Bullrich

$24,510 Vol.

<1%

icon for Facundo Manes

Facundo Manes

$22,323 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Schiaretti

Juan Schiaretti

$29,494 Vol.

<1%

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Milei's position as the leading contender reflects his incumbency and legislative gains from the 2025 midterms, yet recent polls show his approval slipping into the mid-30s amid persistent inflation, purchasing-power erosion, and government-linked corruption concerns. These factors have narrowed his edge over Peronist challenger Axel Kicillof, whose Buenos Aires governorship and party unification efforts position him as the main alternative in a potentially polarized 2027 contest. Sergio Massa and other figures trail due to lower visibility and internal opposition fragmentation, while traders price in Milei's structural advantages against historical base rates for incumbents facing economic headwinds. Upcoming legislative dynamics and alliance talks could further shift implied probabilities before October voting.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$524,776
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 24, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).Milei's position as the leading contender reflects his incumbency and legislative gains from the 2025 midterms, yet recent polls show his approval slipping into the mid-30s amid persistent inflation, purchasing-power erosion, and government-linked corruption concerns. These factors have narrowed his edge over Peronist challenger Axel Kicillof, whose Buenos Aires governorship and party unification efforts position him as the main alternative in a potentially polarized 2027 contest. Sergio Massa and other figures trail due to lower visibility and internal opposition fragmentation, while traders price in Milei's structural advantages against historical base rates for incumbents facing economic headwinds. Upcoming legislative dynamics and alliance talks could further shift implied probabilities before October voting.

A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).
Volume
$524,776
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 24, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
May 1, 2026, 5:56 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A presidential election scheduled to be held in Argentina on October 24, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the next Argentinian Presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Argentina government sources, including the Cámara Nacional Electoral (https://www.electoral.gob.ar/nuevo/index.php) and the Dirección Nacional Electoral (https://www.argentina.gob.ar/dine).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 11 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Javier Milei" sa 52%, sinusundan ng "Axel Kicillof" sa 40%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 52¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $524.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong May 1, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Argentina Presidential Election Winner," i-browse ang 11 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" ay "Javier Milei" sa 52%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 52% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Axel Kicillof" sa 40%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Argentina Presidential Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.