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Politika·Africa

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

icon for Nigerian Presidential Election Winner
Politika·Africa

Nigerian Presidential Election Winner

Bola Tinubu 68%

Peter Obi 24%

Omoyele Sowore <1%

Rabiu Kwankwaso <1%

Polymarket

$128,261 Vol.

Bola Tinubu 68%

Peter Obi 24%

Omoyele Sowore <1%

Rabiu Kwankwaso <1%

Polymarket

$128,261 Vol.

icon for Bola Tinubu

Bola Tinubu

$80,747 Vol.

68%

icon for Peter Obi

Peter Obi

$25,041 Vol.

24%

icon for Omoyele Sowore

Omoyele Sowore

$8,411 Vol.

1%

icon for Rabiu Kwankwaso

Rabiu Kwankwaso

$6,617 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rotimi Amaechi

Rotimi Amaechi

$7,445 Vol.

<1%

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).**Bola Tinubu holds the strongest position at 68% amid the January 2027 contest, reflecting his incumbency advantages, APC control of most states and the National Assembly, and the opposition's persistent fragmentation.** The Independent National Electoral Commission’s final candidate list released September 12 confirmed Tinubu alongside Atiku Abubakar on the ADC ticket with Rotimi Amaechi, Peter Obi on the NDC ticket with Rabiu Kwankwaso, and 15 others including Omoyele Sowore, with no major last-minute shifts. Failed coalition efforts earlier in 2026 left anti-incumbent sentiment divided across multiple platforms, limiting any single challenger’s ability to consolidate votes despite economic pressures and security concerns. Lower probabilities for Obi at 24% and minor candidates align with this structural reality, while traders continue to monitor coalition talks and regional alignments ahead of the vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volume
$128,261
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 16, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).**Bola Tinubu holds the strongest position at 68% amid the January 2027 contest, reflecting his incumbency advantages, APC control of most states and the National Assembly, and the opposition's persistent fragmentation.** The Independent National Electoral Commission’s final candidate list released September 12 confirmed Tinubu alongside Atiku Abubakar on the ADC ticket with Rotimi Amaechi, Peter Obi on the NDC ticket with Rabiu Kwankwaso, and 15 others including Omoyele Sowore, with no major last-minute shifts. Failed coalition efforts earlier in 2026 left anti-incumbent sentiment divided across multiple platforms, limiting any single challenger’s ability to consolidate votes despite economic pressures and security concerns. Lower probabilities for Obi at 24% and minor candidates align with this structural reality, while traders continue to monitor coalition talks and regional alignments ahead of the vote.

Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).Presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Nigeria on January 16, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Nigerian presidential election. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by Nigerian government sources, including the Independent National Electoral Commission (https://www.inecnigeria.org/).
Volume
$128,261
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 16, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 2, 2026, 2:03 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Bola Tinubu" sa 68%, sinusundan ng "Peter Obi" sa 24%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 68¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" ay naka-generate ng $128.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jan 16, 2027. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" ay "Bola Tinubu" sa 68%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 68% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Peter Obi" sa 24%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Nigerian Presidential Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.