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Politika·São Tomé

São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner

icon for São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner
Politika·São Tomé

São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner

Carlos Vila Nova 64%

Jorge Bom Jesus 48%

Nito Abreu 39%

Nino Monteiro 10%

Polymarket
BAGO

Carlos Vila Nova 64%

Jorge Bom Jesus 48%

Nito Abreu 39%

Nino Monteiro 10%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Carlos Vila Nova

Carlos Vila Nova

$13 Vol.

64%

icon for Jorge Bom Jesus

Jorge Bom Jesus

$13 Vol.

48%

icon for Nito Abreu

Nito Abreu

$13 Vol.

39%

icon for Nino Monteiro

Nino Monteiro

$34 Vol.

10%

icon for Elsa Pinto

Elsa Pinto

$690 Vol.

6%

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.São Tomé and Príncipe’s July 19, 2026 presidential election features a fragmented field of more than two dozen candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova running independently, ADI’s Nito Abreu, MLSTP-linked Elsa Pinto, independent former prime minister Jorge Bom Jesus, and Nino Monteiro backed by Movimento Independente dos Cidadãos/Partido Socialista. Internal party tensions—such as ADI’s decision to bypass Vila Nova and MLSTP divisions—have prevented any contender from consolidating broad support ahead of the first-round vote. Recent developments include MLSTP’s reported backing of Vila Nova and signals that Bom Jesus may withdraw, yet the absence of consolidated coalitions or decisive polling keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. A potential August runoff and last-minute endorsements or campaign momentum could separate frontrunners in the final weeks.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Volume
$728
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 23, 2026, 9:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.São Tomé and Príncipe’s July 19, 2026 presidential election features a fragmented field of more than two dozen candidates, including incumbent Carlos Vila Nova running independently, ADI’s Nito Abreu, MLSTP-linked Elsa Pinto, independent former prime minister Jorge Bom Jesus, and Nino Monteiro backed by Movimento Independente dos Cidadãos/Partido Socialista. Internal party tensions—such as ADI’s decision to bypass Vila Nova and MLSTP divisions—have prevented any contender from consolidating broad support ahead of the first-round vote. Recent developments include MLSTP’s reported backing of Vila Nova and signals that Bom Jesus may withdraw, yet the absence of consolidated coalitions or decisive polling keeps implied probabilities tightly clustered. A potential August runoff and last-minute endorsements or campaign momentum could separate frontrunners in the final weeks.

Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify.

This market includes any potential second round.

If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.
Volume
$728
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jul 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 23, 2026, 9:52 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Presidential elections are currently scheduled to be held in São Tomé and Príncipe on July 19, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 São Tomé and Príncipe presidential elections. Any interim or caretaker President will not qualify. This market includes any potential second round. If the results are not known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by São Tomé and Príncipe government sources.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Carlos Vila Nova" sa 64%, sinusundan ng "Jorge Bom Jesus" sa 48%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 64¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 64% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 23, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner" ay "Carlos Vila Nova" sa 64%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 64% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Jorge Bom Jesus" sa 48%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "São Tomé and Príncipe Presidential Election Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.