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Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Claire Valdez 62%

Antonio Reynoso 33%

Julie Won <1%

Kristen Gonzalez <1%

Polymarket

$106,569 Vol.

Claire Valdez 62%

Antonio Reynoso 33%

Julie Won <1%

Kristen Gonzalez <1%

Polymarket

$106,569 Vol.

Claire Valdez

$10,018 Vol.

62%

Antonio Reynoso

$10,328 Vol.

33%

Julie Won

$4,537 Vol.

<1%

Kristen Gonzalez

$25,793 Vol.

<1%

Lincoln Restler

$6,199 Vol.

<1%

Julia Salazar

$6,993 Vol.

<1%

Jennifer Gútierrez

$25,774 Vol.

<1%

Sandy Nurse

$8,980 Vol.

<1%

Tiffany Cabán

$7,947 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary market favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 62% implied probability ahead of the June 23 contest for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, propelled by her Q1 fundraising lead of $752,000—including $299,000 in small unitemized donations—and endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Sen. Bernie Sanders.** Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds 33% with backing from the Queens County Democratic Party, Velázquez, Assemblymember Sandy Nurse, and the Working Families Party, positioning him as the establishment progressive alternative. Recent FEC disclosures and Mamdani's strong 56% favorables underscore Valdez's grassroots momentum in this left-leaning Brooklyn-Queens district, though intra-progressive tensions and absent public polls keep the race fluid for late shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$106,569
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Trader consensus in the NY-07 Democratic primary market favors Assemblymember Claire Valdez at 62% implied probability ahead of the June 23 contest for the open seat vacated by retiring Rep. Nydia Velázquez, propelled by her Q1 fundraising lead of $752,000—including $299,000 in small unitemized donations—and endorsements from Mayor Zohran Mamdani and Sen. Bernie Sanders.** Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso holds 33% with backing from the Queens County Democratic Party, Velázquez, Assemblymember Sandy Nurse, and the Working Families Party, positioning him as the establishment progressive alternative. Recent FEC disclosures and Mamdani's strong 56% favorables underscore Valdez's grassroots momentum in this left-leaning Brooklyn-Queens district, though intra-progressive tensions and absent public polls keep the race fluid for late shifts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$106,569
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 9 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Claire Valdez" sa 62%, sinusundan ng "Antonio Reynoso" sa 33%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 62¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 62% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $106.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 9 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Claire Valdez" sa 62%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 62% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Antonio Reynoso" sa 33%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NY-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.