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icon for Nagwagi ba ang Colombia Presidential Election sa unang round?
Mundo·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Nagwagi ba ang Colombia Presidential Election sa unang round?

icon for Nagwagi ba ang Colombia Presidential Election sa unang round?
Mundo·Pandaigdigang Halalan

Nagwagi ba ang Colombia Presidential Election sa unang round?

Iván Cepeda Castro 86%

Abelardo de la Espriella 14.2%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Vicky Dávila <1%

Polymarket

$5,913,743 Vol.

Iván Cepeda Castro 86%

Abelardo de la Espriella 14.2%

Paloma Valencia <1%

Vicky Dávila <1%

Polymarket

$5,913,743 Vol.

icon for Iván Cepeda Castro

Iván Cepeda Castro

$517,929 Vol.

86%

icon for Abelardo de la Espriella

Abelardo de la Espriella

$1,025,147 Vol.

14%

icon for Paloma Valencia

Paloma Valencia

$567,479 Vol.

1%

icon for Vicky Dávila

Vicky Dávila

$439,750 Vol.

<1%

icon for Luis Gilberto Murillo

Luis Gilberto Murillo

$298,122 Vol.

<1%

icon for Claudia López

Claudia López

$300,293 Vol.

<1%

icon for David Luna Sánchez

David Luna Sánchez

$283,057 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Daniel Oviedo

Juan Daniel Oviedo

$156,932 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gustavo Bolívar

Gustavo Bolívar

$229,484 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sergio Fajardo

Sergio Fajardo

$209,235 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Manuel Galán

Juan Manuel Galán

$235,184 Vol.

<1%

icon for Germán Vargas Lleras

Germán Vargas Lleras

$287,138 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roy Barreras

Roy Barreras

$285,258 Vol.

<1%

icon for Daniel Quintero

Daniel Quintero

$256,692 Vol.

<1%

icon for Juan Carlos Pinzón

Juan Carlos Pinzón

$144,829 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mauricio Cárdenas

Mauricio Cárdenas

$335,378 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Peñalosa

Enrique Peñalosa

$305,336 Vol.

<1%

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda leads the first-round contest on May 31 as the Historic Pact candidate promising continuity with President Gustavo Petro’s agenda, with recent Invamer and GAD3 polls placing him at 36–44 percent support, well ahead of Abelardo de la Espriella at 21 percent and Paloma Valencia at 13–22 percent. The conservative vote remains divided between de la Espriella’s outsider platform and Valencia’s center-right Democratic Center base, limiting any single challenger’s ability to close the gap in the final weeks. A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates further fragments remaining support, reinforcing trader consensus that Cepeda will finish first. Upcoming campaign events and any last-minute shifts in undecided voters could still affect final margins before polls close.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$5,913,743
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co). Iván Cepeda leads the first-round contest on May 31 as the Historic Pact candidate promising continuity with President Gustavo Petro’s agenda, with recent Invamer and GAD3 polls placing him at 36–44 percent support, well ahead of Abelardo de la Espriella at 21 percent and Paloma Valencia at 13–22 percent. The conservative vote remains divided between de la Espriella’s outsider platform and Valencia’s center-right Democratic Center base, limiting any single challenger’s ability to close the gap in the final weeks. A crowded field of more than a dozen candidates further fragments remaining support, reinforcing trader consensus that Cepeda will finish first. Upcoming campaign events and any last-minute shifts in undecided voters could still affect final margins before polls close.

Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting.

If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).
Volume
$5,913,743
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 23, 2025, 4:32 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
Colombia's presidential elections are scheduled for May 31, 2026, and a second round (if required) on June 21, 2026, in case no candidate secures more than 50% of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the greatest number of valid votes in the first round of voting. If the results of the first round of the Colombian presidential election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Colombia's National Civil Registry (Registraduría Nacional del Estado Civil) (https://registraduria.gov.co).

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang " Nagwagi ba ang Colombia Presidential Election sa unang round?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 18 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Iván Cepeda Castro" sa 86%, sinusundan ng "Abelardo de la Espriella" sa 14%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 86¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 86% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang " Nagwagi ba ang Colombia Presidential Election sa unang round?" ay naka-generate ng $5.9 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 23, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa " Nagwagi ba ang Colombia Presidential Election sa unang round?," i-browse ang 18 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa " Nagwagi ba ang Colombia Presidential Election sa unang round?" ay "Iván Cepeda Castro" sa 86%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 86% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Abelardo de la Espriella" sa 14%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa " Nagwagi ba ang Colombia Presidential Election sa unang round?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.