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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner

Adriano Espaillat 71%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 29%

Oscar Romero 1.7%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$22,629 Vol.

Adriano Espaillat 71%

Darializa Avila Chevalier 29%

Oscar Romero 1.7%

Theo Chino-Tavarez <1%

Polymarket

$22,629 Vol.

Adriano Espaillat

$5,371 Vol.

71%

Darializa Avila Chevalier

$3,126 Vol.

29%

Oscar Romero

$5,217 Vol.

2%

Theo Chino-Tavarez

$1,890 Vol.

<1%

Megan Rodriguez

$2,042 Vol.

<1%

Jaleel Amador

$934 Vol.

<1%

James Felton Keith

$2,195 Vol.

<1%

Matt Miller

$1,855 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his fundraising advantage, long-held name recognition, and strength among the district's 34% Hispanic voters in this young, diverse Upper Manhattan and Bronx electorate. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, a DSA-endorsed democratic socialist and public defense investigator, holds 28.5% amid progressive backing from Justice Democrats and criticism of Espaillat's AIPAC ties, but her momentum from an April internal poll showing a post-messaging tie has softened following a May 3 report linking her donations to ICE protest monitors. Recent demographic analyses highlight Espaillat's edge with Hispanics offsetting Avila's potential gains with Black and white voters, underscoring an uphill path for the challenger despite high-density canvassing efforts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,629
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Rep. Adriano Espaillat leads trader consensus at 70.5% implied probability to win the NY-13 Democratic primary on June 23, bolstered by his fundraising advantage, long-held name recognition, and strength among the district's 34% Hispanic voters in this young, diverse Upper Manhattan and Bronx electorate. Challenger Darializa Avila Chevalier, a DSA-endorsed democratic socialist and public defense investigator, holds 28.5% amid progressive backing from Justice Democrats and criticism of Espaillat's AIPAC ties, but her momentum from an April internal poll showing a post-messaging tie has softened following a May 3 report linking her donations to ICE protest monitors. Recent demographic analyses highlight Espaillat's edge with Hispanics offsetting Avila's potential gains with Black and white voters, underscoring an uphill path for the challenger despite high-density canvassing efforts.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$22,629
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 19, 2025, 3:59 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 8 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Adriano Espaillat" sa 71%, sinusundan ng "Darializa Avila Chevalier" sa 29%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 71¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $22.6K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 19, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 8 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Adriano Espaillat" sa 71%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Darializa Avila Chevalier" sa 29%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NY-13 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.