Skip to main content
icon for New Mexico Gobernador Republikano Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

New Mexico Gobernador Republikano Primary Winner

icon for New Mexico Gobernador Republikano Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

New Mexico Gobernador Republikano Primary Winner

Greg Hull 74%

Duke Rodriguez 16%

Doug Turner 4.5%

Brian Cillessen <1%

Polymarket

$843,933 Vol.

Greg Hull 74%

Duke Rodriguez 16%

Doug Turner 4.5%

Brian Cillessen <1%

Polymarket

$843,933 Vol.

Greg Hull

$136,538 Vol.

74%

Duke Rodriguez

$17,539 Vol.

16%

Doug Turner

$2,657 Vol.

4%

Brian Cillessen

$4,544 Vol.

<1%

Susana Martinez

$10,295 Vol.

<1%

Judith Nakamura

$7,182 Vol.

<1%

John Sanchez

$3,873 Vol.

<1%

Steve Lanier

$650,712 Vol.

<1%

Mark Murphy

$3,873 Vol.

<1%

Belinda Robertson

$6,720 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Gregg Hull's lead in recent Albuquerque Journal and KOAT polls—at 30% support amid 40% undecided Republican primary voters—anchors trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability for him to win New Mexico's June 2 gubernatorial primary.** As former three-term Rio Rancho mayor, Hull benefits from strong name recognition in the open race following Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham's term limit, emphasizing public safety and economic issues in recent debates. Duke Rodriguez trails at 15.5% on his healthcare executive background despite a past protective order report, while Doug Turner's 4.5% reflects weaker polling at 21%; an upcoming KRQE debate on May 19 could sway undecideds in this closely watched three-way contest. Minor candidates like Susana Martinez hold negligible odds absent viable campaigns.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$843,933
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.**Gregg Hull's lead in recent Albuquerque Journal and KOAT polls—at 30% support amid 40% undecided Republican primary voters—anchors trader consensus at 73.5% implied probability for him to win New Mexico's June 2 gubernatorial primary.** As former three-term Rio Rancho mayor, Hull benefits from strong name recognition in the open race following Democratic Gov. Michelle Lujan Grisham's term limit, emphasizing public safety and economic issues in recent debates. Duke Rodriguez trails at 15.5% on his healthcare executive background despite a past protective order report, while Doug Turner's 4.5% reflects weaker polling at 21%; an upcoming KRQE debate on May 19 could sway undecideds in this closely watched three-way contest. Minor candidates like Susana Martinez hold negligible odds absent viable campaigns.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off.

If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$843,933
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 2, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 4, 2025, 5:57 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Republican Primary for Governor of New Mexico, scheduled to take place on June 2, 2026. Resolution will be based on the overall winner of the primary, including any potential second round or run-off. If no 2026 New Mexico Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.” The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the New Mexico Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "New Mexico Gobernador Republikano Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Greg Hull" sa 74%, sinusundan ng "Duke Rodriguez" sa 16%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 74¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "New Mexico Gobernador Republikano Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $843.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 4, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "New Mexico Gobernador Republikano Primary Winner," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "New Mexico Gobernador Republikano Primary Winner" ay "Greg Hull" sa 74%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 74% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Duke Rodriguez" sa 16%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "New Mexico Gobernador Republikano Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.