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icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Florida

FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner

Elijah Manley 46%

Dale Holness 17%

Maisha Williams 6.3%

Mark Douglas 5.3%

Polymarket
BAGO

Elijah Manley 46%

Dale Holness 17%

Maisha Williams 6.3%

Mark Douglas 5.3%

Polymarket
BAGO

Elijah Manley

$1,830 Vol.

35%

Dale Holness

$499 Vol.

37%

Maisha Williams

$284 Vol.

6%

Mark Douglas

$259 Vol.

5%

Luther Campbell

$249 Vol.

5%

Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick

$770 Vol.

2%

Rudy Moise

$480 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Florida's 20th Congressional District Democratic primary set for August 18, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between former Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness at 36.5% and challenger Elijah Manley at 34.5%, driven by the open seat after Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 2026 resignation amid a federal indictment for misusing disaster relief funds and House Ethics findings of 25 violations. Pre-resignation polls from February showed Manley leading with positive favorability, but Holness holds a strong fundraising edge with over $312,000 cash on hand entering Q2 versus Manley's $23,000. The crowded field splits votes among Luther Campbell, Maisha Williams, and others; endorsements from Broward Black Democrats, superior ad spending, or shifts in Black voter turnout could create separation before early voting begins.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,371
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.In Florida's 20th Congressional District Democratic primary set for August 18, trader consensus reflects a tight contest between former Broward County Commissioner Dale Holness at 36.5% and challenger Elijah Manley at 34.5%, driven by the open seat after Rep. Sheila Cherfilus-McCormick's April 2026 resignation amid a federal indictment for misusing disaster relief funds and House Ethics findings of 25 violations. Pre-resignation polls from February showed Manley leading with positive favorability, but Holness holds a strong fundraising edge with over $312,000 cash on hand entering Q2 versus Manley's $23,000. The crowded field splits votes among Luther Campbell, Maisha Williams, and others; endorsements from Broward Black Democrats, superior ad spending, or shifts in Black voter turnout could create separation before early voting begins.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$4,371
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 1:10 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-20 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Dale Holness" sa 37%, sinusundan ng "Elijah Manley" sa 35%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 37¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 37% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 22, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Dale Holness" sa 37%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 37% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Elijah Manley" sa 35%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "FL-20 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.