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Politika·Florida

FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Florida

FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner

Oliver Gilbert 65%

Shevrin Jones 35%

Marshall Davis Sr. 11%

Kendrick Meek Jr. 11%

Polymarket
BAGO

Oliver Gilbert 65%

Shevrin Jones 35%

Marshall Davis Sr. 11%

Kendrick Meek Jr. 11%

Polymarket
BAGO

Oliver Gilbert

$0 Vol.

65%

Shevrin Jones

$0 Vol.

35%

Marshall Davis Sr.

$0 Vol.

11%

Kendrick Meek Jr.

$0 Vol.

11%

Rudy Moise

$0 Vol.

11%

Jean Monestime

$37 Vol.

11%

Roderick Vereen

$0 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded field in Florida's 24th Congressional District Democratic primary has produced evenly matched probabilities because no single candidate has consolidated support following incumbent Frederica Wilson's April 2026 retirement announcement. Multiple local officeholders and business figures, including former Miami Gardens mayor Oliver Gilbert III, state Sen. Shevrin Jones, and Jean Monestime, each bring established name recognition and fundraising networks across northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward. Recent candidate forums have centered on shared priorities such as housing costs and economic pressures without clear differentiation. With the August primary still weeks away and vote fragmentation likely in this heavily Democratic open-seat contest, trader consensus reflects the absence of polling leads or decisive endorsements that could shift momentum toward any contender.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$37
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.The crowded field in Florida's 24th Congressional District Democratic primary has produced evenly matched probabilities because no single candidate has consolidated support following incumbent Frederica Wilson's April 2026 retirement announcement. Multiple local officeholders and business figures, including former Miami Gardens mayor Oliver Gilbert III, state Sen. Shevrin Jones, and Jean Monestime, each bring established name recognition and fundraising networks across northern Miami-Dade and southern Broward. Recent candidate forums have centered on shared priorities such as housing costs and economic pressures without clear differentiation. With the August primary still weeks away and vote fragmentation likely in this heavily Democratic open-seat contest, trader consensus reflects the absence of polling leads or decisive endorsements that could shift momentum toward any contender.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$37
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 18, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 26, 2026, 4:51 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Oliver Gilbert" sa 65%, sinusundan ng "Shevrin Jones" sa 35%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 65¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 65% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 26, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Oliver Gilbert" sa 65%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 65% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Shevrin Jones" sa 35%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.