Skip to main content
icon for Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by…?
Politika·Estados Unidos

Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by…?

icon for Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by…?
Politika·Estados Unidos

Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by…?

BAGO
Aug 30, 2026
Polymarket

$2,151 Vol.

Polymarket

August 12

$478 Vol.

93%

August 13

$1,107 Vol.

83%

August 15

$585 Vol.

98%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11, 2026, produced an exceptionally narrow result, with Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by roughly 3,200 votes (39.8% to 39.4%) after late shifts in absentee ballot reporting and a photo-finish count. This margin, under 1 percentage point, triggered standard procedures allowing the trailing candidate to request a recount, which can extend the timeline before formal concession and certification. Hong addressed supporters without conceding on election night amid delayed results from Milwaukee, but called Crowley early on August 12 to concede and confirmed she would not pursue a recount. Traders in related markets have priced high probabilities for concession by mid-August, reflecting the swift resolution and absence of disputes over eligibility or vote tabulation in this open-seat primary.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.

In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary.

Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Volume
$2,151
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 11:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.The Wisconsin Democratic primary for governor on August 11, 2026, produced an exceptionally narrow result, with Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley defeating state Rep. Francesca Hong by roughly 3,200 votes (39.8% to 39.4%) after late shifts in absentee ballot reporting and a photo-finish count. This margin, under 1 percentage point, triggered standard procedures allowing the trailing candidate to request a recount, which can extend the timeline before formal concession and certification. Hong addressed supporters without conceding on election night amid delayed results from Milwaukee, but called Crowley early on August 12 to concede and confirmed she would not pursue a recount. Traders in related markets have priced high probabilities for concession by mid-August, reflecting the swift resolution and absence of disputes over eligibility or vote tabulation in this open-seat primary.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession.

Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe.

In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary.

Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.
Volume
$2,151
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 30, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 11, 2026, 11:42 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if, between David Crowley and Francesca Hong, the individual who does not win the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concedes in that election by the specified date, at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A concession is defined as an unambiguous public statement that acknowledges that the candidate lost the 2026 Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary, will not be the Democratic Nominee to be Governor of Wisconsin, or acknowledges the victory of an opponent. If a candidate makes these acknowledgements while also claiming that the election was rigged or that there was fraud, this will still qualify as a concession. Any public statement from the relevant candidate written or verbal will qualify. Speeches in which this candidate begins speaking within the time frame of this market will qualify, even if their declaration of concession falls outside the market’s timeframe. In the event that neither of the listed individuals wins the relevant primary, this market will only resolve to "Yes" if both named individuals endorse the winner of the primary. Only public statements from the relevant candidate will qualify. Reports of private conversations, e.g. if the candidate called the victor and conceded over the phone, will not count.

Kaugnay

icon for Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by 0.4–0.6%?

92%
icon for Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary by less than 1%?

100%
icon for Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

Will David Crowley win the Wisconsin Democratic Governor primary?

100%

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by…?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 3 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "August 15" sa 98%, sinusundan ng "August 12" sa 93%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 98¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by…?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 11, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by…?," i-browse ang 3 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by…?" ay "August 15" sa 98%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 98% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "August 12" sa 93%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Will the loser of the Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary concede by…?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.