Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes leads the Polymarket consensus for the October 4, 2026, Arequipa provincial mayoral election, reflecting recent polling trends that place him ahead of a fragmented field of more than 30 candidates. Late August and early September surveys showed him capturing the largest share of intended votes, supported by his profile as the sitting Cerro Colorado district mayor seeking elevation to the provincial post. The multi-candidate structure and regionalist party dynamics keep support dispersed, with Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera, Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa, and others trailing in single digits or low teens. Trader pricing aligns with this evidence of a frontrunner advantage while accounting for the short remaining campaign window and potential late shifts in voter preferences among Arequipa's registered electorate.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateManuel Enrique Vera Paredes 51%
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 22%
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 15%
Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias 4.5%
$16,108 Vol.
$16,108 Vol.

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
51%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
22%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
15%

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
4%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
4%

José Miguel Briones Silva
4%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
4%

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
4%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
4%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
3%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
3%

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
3%

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
3%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
2%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
2%

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
2%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
2%

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
1%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
1%

Isidro Flores Sosa
1%
Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes 51%
Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera 22%
Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa 15%
Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias 4.5%
$16,108 Vol.
$16,108 Vol.

Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes
51%

Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera
22%

Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa
15%

Lorenzo Filomeno Colque Arias
4%

Tomás Job Delgado Zúñiga
4%

José Miguel Briones Silva
4%

Elizabeth Genesis Amado Quispe
4%

Yamel Deyson Romero Peralta
4%

Alfredo Álvarez Díaz
4%

Deyanira Yajaira Salazar Rivera
3%

Andrés Eliseo Risueño Portugal
3%

Mauricio Cáceres Cáceres
3%

Javier Antonio Onofre Ccama
3%

Elmer Ángel Acero Bruna
2%

Juan Roberto Muñoz Pinto
2%

Ruccy Judith Oscco Polar
2%

Lizbeth Zavala Vilca
2%

Jorge Luis Reyes Luján Martínez
1%

Alfredo Willy Benavente Godoy
1%

Isidro Flores Sosa
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Arequipa as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Manuel Enrique Vera Paredes leads the Polymarket consensus for the October 4, 2026, Arequipa provincial mayoral election, reflecting recent polling trends that place him ahead of a fragmented field of more than 30 candidates. Late August and early September surveys showed him capturing the largest share of intended votes, supported by his profile as the sitting Cerro Colorado district mayor seeking elevation to the provincial post. The multi-candidate structure and regionalist party dynamics keep support dispersed, with Renzo Alonso Salas Herrera, Ricardo Alfredo Ramírez del Villar Llosa, and others trailing in single digits or low teens. Trader pricing aligns with this evidence of a frontrunner advantage while accounting for the short remaining campaign window and potential late shifts in voter preferences among Arequipa's registered electorate.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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