The crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates for Piura's October 4, 2026 provincial mayoral election has produced highly fragmented support, with no candidate establishing a commanding lead in available surveys and trader-implied probabilities reflecting this dispersion. Local party and regional movement affiliations—such as Somos Perú for Miguel Cueva Celi, Alianza para el Progreso for Jorge Flores Bazán, and Fuerza Regional for Kelly Morillas Bogado—along with independent lists, continue to split voter preferences across security, infrastructure, and economic priorities typical in Piura contests. Older polling showed modest leads in the mid-teens for several names, while recent candidate statements reference incremental survey gains without consolidation. The absence of a dominant frontrunner or decisive late-cycle events sustains the tight distribution, with potential separation hinging on remaining campaign visibility, turnout patterns among key districts, or any formal withdrawals before the ballot closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updatePiura Mayoral Election Winner
Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot 23.5%
Guillermo Chávez Timoteo 23%
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia 20%
Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena 17%

Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot
23%

Guillermo Chávez Timoteo
23%

Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia
20%

Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena
17%

Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán
22%

John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin
10%

Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios
8%

José Luis Morey Requejo
7%

Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado
5%

Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví
5%

Walther Guerrero Silva
22%

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi
40%

Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde
36%

Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios
36%

Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño
35%
Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot 23.5%
Guillermo Chávez Timoteo 23%
Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia 20%
Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena 17%

Carlos Eduardo Cruz Michilot
23%

Guillermo Chávez Timoteo
23%

Mercedes Paola Maza Valencia
20%

Segundo Buenaventura Chávez Albirena
17%

Jorge Hilton Flores Bazán
22%

John Alexander Do Santos Ocmin
10%

Ricardo Eliseo Paulini Palacios
8%

José Luis Morey Requejo
7%

Kelly Ann Stefany Morillas Bogado
5%

Martín Gerardo Olivares Chanduví
5%

Walther Guerrero Silva
22%

Miguel Gerardo Cueva Celi
40%

Paul Anthony Lizama Quinde
36%

Javier Fernando Miguel Atkins Lerggios
36%

Alberto Alonso Ordinola Niño
35%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 12, 2026, 12:52 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Provincial Municipality of Piura as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If this election is annulled or the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field of over two dozen registered candidates for Piura's October 4, 2026 provincial mayoral election has produced highly fragmented support, with no candidate establishing a commanding lead in available surveys and trader-implied probabilities reflecting this dispersion. Local party and regional movement affiliations—such as Somos Perú for Miguel Cueva Celi, Alianza para el Progreso for Jorge Flores Bazán, and Fuerza Regional for Kelly Morillas Bogado—along with independent lists, continue to split voter preferences across security, infrastructure, and economic priorities typical in Piura contests. Older polling showed modest leads in the mid-teens for several names, while recent candidate statements reference incremental survey gains without consolidation. The absence of a dominant frontrunner or decisive late-cycle events sustains the tight distribution, with potential separation hinging on remaining campaign visibility, turnout patterns among key districts, or any formal withdrawals before the ballot closes.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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