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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place

icon for South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place

Ralph Norman 38%

Darline Graham Nordone 29%

Russell Fry 12%

Trey Gowdy 8%

Polymarket
BAGO

Ralph Norman 38%

Darline Graham Nordone 29%

Russell Fry 12%

Trey Gowdy 8%

Polymarket
BAGO
icon for Ralph Norman

Ralph Norman

$754 Vol.

38%

icon for Darline Graham Nordone

Darline Graham Nordone

$70 Vol.

29%

icon for Russell Fry

Russell Fry

$133 Vol.

12%

icon for Trey Gowdy

Trey Gowdy

$173 Vol.

8%

icon for Mark Sanford

Mark Sanford

$40 Vol.

6%

icon for Mark Lynch

Mark Lynch

$60 Vol.

5%

icon for Duke Buckner

Duke Buckner

$459 Vol.

5%

icon for Sheri Biggs

Sheri Biggs

$180 Vol.

4%

icon for Pamela Evette

Pamela Evette

$90 Vol.

4%

icon for Henry McMaster

Henry McMaster

$149 Vol.

7%

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. A crowded field of Republican candidates in South Carolina's special Senate primary, set for August 11 following the vacancy, has kept second-place positioning tightly contested among multiple contenders. Recent candidate filings and the compressed timeline have fragmented support, with no dominant polling leader emerging to consolidate votes ahead of the first round. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as endorsements from state party figures, congressional colleagues, and potential debate performances could shift momentum and clarify rankings. Historical patterns in open-seat primaries show late surges or withdrawals often determine lower placements, and any new polling averages or official announcements in the coming days may create clearer separation before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,106
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. A crowded field of Republican candidates in South Carolina's special Senate primary, set for August 11 following the vacancy, has kept second-place positioning tightly contested among multiple contenders. Recent candidate filings and the compressed timeline have fragmented support, with no dominant polling leader emerging to consolidate votes ahead of the first round. Trader consensus reflects this uncertainty, as endorsements from state party figures, congressional colleagues, and potential debate performances could shift momentum and clarify rankings. Historical patterns in open-seat primaries show late surges or withdrawals often determine lower placements, and any new polling averages or official announcements in the coming days may create clearer separation before ballots are cast.

The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$2,106
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 11, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 30, 2026, 3:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The first round of the 2026 special Republican Party primary for the United States Senate election in South Carolina will be held on August 11, 2026, with a potential runoff on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate that wins the second-most votes in the first round of the special Republican Primary for US Senator from South Carolina. Candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' first names, as listed in this market group. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of South Carolina, such as official statewide results published by the South Carolina Election Commission (https://scvotes.gov/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

Will Darline Graham Nordone win the first round of the South Carolina Republican Senate special primary?

78%
icon for First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

First round outright winner in the SC Special Republican Senate Primary?

11%
icon for Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?

90%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 10 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ralph Norman" sa 38%, sinusundan ng "Darline Graham Nordone" sa 29%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 38¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 38% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jul 30, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place," i-browse ang 10 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" ay "Ralph Norman" sa 38%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 38% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Darline Graham Nordone" sa 29%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "South Carolina Senate Special Republican Primary: First Round Second Place" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.