Ramaswamy's dominant position in the Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary reflects his strong backing from President Trump, substantial fundraising advantage, and a field of lesser-known challengers that has kept him well ahead in recent polling. This setup has led traders to price in a comfortable but not overwhelming victory margin, with the 60-70% outcome capturing nearly all market activity as the most probable result on primary day. Key recent factors include high-profile endorsements and consistent leads across the state that have limited any late momentum for rivals. A narrower win could still emerge if turnout surprises or one opponent consolidates support unexpectedly, though current evidence points to limited risk of that shift.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateOhio Governor Republican Primary: Margin of Victory
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.4%
Other 2.5%
Ramaswamy 70%+ <1%
Ramaswamy <30% <1%
$66,212 Vol.
$66,212 Vol.
Ramaswamy <30%
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
99%
Ramaswamy 70%+
1%
Other
3%
Ramaswamy 60-70% 99.4%
Other 2.5%
Ramaswamy 70%+ <1%
Ramaswamy <30% <1%
$66,212 Vol.
$66,212 Vol.
Ramaswamy <30%
<1%
Ramaswamy 30-40%
<1%
Ramaswamy 40-50%
<1%
Ramaswamy 50-60%
<1%
Ramaswamy 60-70%
99%
Ramaswamy 70%+
1%
Other
3%
This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Binuksan ang Market: May 4, 2026, 4:14 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the specified election.
For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher placed bracket.
If two or more candidates tie for the most valid votes in this election, and the tie is between two candidates listed, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the candidate whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If the tie is between a listed candidate and an unlisted candidate, this market will resolve to the lowest margin bracket for the listed candidate. If the tie is between two or more unlisted candidates, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official sources, including those from the Ohio Republican Party.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Ramaswamy's dominant position in the Ohio Republican gubernatorial primary reflects his strong backing from President Trump, substantial fundraising advantage, and a field of lesser-known challengers that has kept him well ahead in recent polling. This setup has led traders to price in a comfortable but not overwhelming victory margin, with the 60-70% outcome capturing nearly all market activity as the most probable result on primary day. Key recent factors include high-profile endorsements and consistent leads across the state that have limited any late momentum for rivals. A narrower win could still emerge if turnout surprises or one opponent consolidates support unexpectedly, though current evidence points to limited risk of that shift.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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