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icon for Mamdani team sweeps primaries?

Mamdani team sweeps primaries?

icon for Mamdani team sweeps primaries?

Mamdani team sweeps primaries?

42% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
42% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
The 2026 New York Democratic primary elections will take place on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 New York Democratic primary elections: - Claire Valdez wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. - Brad Lander wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. - Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. If any nominee in any of the three specified districts remains unannounced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of any of any nominee for the three specified districts before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mamdani, elected New York City mayor after his 2025 Democratic primary upset over Andrew Cuomo, has endorsed a slate of progressive congressional candidates—including Brad Lander, Claire Valdez, and Darializa Avila Chevalier—for the June 23, 2026, New York primaries. With early voting underway and Senator Bernie Sanders scheduled to join a get-out-the-vote rally, traders price the chance of a full sweep at even odds due to Mamdani’s demonstrated voter mobilization alongside countervailing factors such as entrenched incumbents, split Democratic endorsements, and variable turnout in the targeted districts. Recent polling gaps, fundraising differentials, and the scale of progressive versus moderate participation in the final days of early voting could shift implied probabilities in either direction before results are certified.

The 2026 New York Democratic primary elections will take place on June 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 New York Democratic primary elections:

- Claire Valdez wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Brad Lander wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

If any nominee in any of the three specified districts remains unannounced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of any of any nominee for the three specified districts before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$520
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 18, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
The 2026 New York Democratic primary elections will take place on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 New York Democratic primary elections: - Claire Valdez wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. - Brad Lander wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. - Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. If any nominee in any of the three specified districts remains unannounced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of any of any nominee for the three specified districts before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
The 2026 New York Democratic primary elections will take place on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 New York Democratic primary elections: - Claire Valdez wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. - Brad Lander wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. - Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. If any nominee in any of the three specified districts remains unannounced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of any of any nominee for the three specified districts before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mamdani, elected New York City mayor after his 2025 Democratic primary upset over Andrew Cuomo, has endorsed a slate of progressive congressional candidates—including Brad Lander, Claire Valdez, and Darializa Avila Chevalier—for the June 23, 2026, New York primaries. With early voting underway and Senator Bernie Sanders scheduled to join a get-out-the-vote rally, traders price the chance of a full sweep at even odds due to Mamdani’s demonstrated voter mobilization alongside countervailing factors such as entrenched incumbents, split Democratic endorsements, and variable turnout in the targeted districts. Recent polling gaps, fundraising differentials, and the scale of progressive versus moderate participation in the final days of early voting could shift implied probabilities in either direction before results are certified.

The 2026 New York Democratic primary elections will take place on June 23, 2026.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 New York Democratic primary elections:

- Claire Valdez wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Brad Lander wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.

Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met.

If any nominee in any of the three specified districts remains unannounced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of any of any nominee for the three specified districts before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$520
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Jun 18, 2026, 9:52 PM ET
The 2026 New York Democratic primary elections will take place on June 23, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if all of the following conditions are met as a result of the 2026 New York Democratic primary elections: - Claire Valdez wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. - Brad Lander wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. - Darializa Avila Chevalier wins the Democratic Party nomination to contest the NY-13 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will remain open until it is confirmed that at least one of the above conditions has not been met, or until all of the above conditions have been met. If any nominee in any of the three specified districts remains unannounced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of any of any nominee for the three specified districts before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Mamdani team sweeps primaries?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 42% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 42¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 42% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Mamdani team sweeps primaries?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Jun 18, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Mamdani team sweeps primaries?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "Mamdani team sweeps primaries?" ay 42% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 42% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Mamdani team sweeps primaries?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.