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NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Trump

NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner

Micah Lasher 45%

Alex Bores 38%

Jack Schlossberg 16%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$362,488 Vol.

Micah Lasher 45%

Alex Bores 38%

Jack Schlossberg 16%

Cameron Kasky <1%

Polymarket

$362,488 Vol.

Micah Lasher

$17,180 Vol.

45%

Alex Bores

$8,107 Vol.

38%

Jack Schlossberg

$12,137 Vol.

16%

Cameron Kasky

$5,937 Vol.

<1%

Liz Krueger

$58,666 Vol.

<1%

Brad Hoylman-Sigal

$7,388 Vol.

<1%

Keith Powers

$6,094 Vol.

<1%

Lina Khan

$41,321 Vol.

<1%

Erik Bottcher

$4,491 Vol.

<1%

Carolyn Maloney

$4,744 Vol.

<1%

Gale Brewer

$4,214 Vol.

<1%

Brad Lander

$80,865 Vol.

<1%

Julie Menin

$25,331 Vol.

<1%

Chelsea Clinton

$10,142 Vol.

<1%

Liam Elkind

$4,337 Vol.

<1%

Scott Stringer

$58,748 Vol.

<1%

Andrew Cuomo

$4,821 Vol.

<1%

Cynthia Nixon

$4,304 Vol.

<1%

George Conway

$3,664 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Micah Lasher holds a narrow lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 12th congressional district after Jerry Nadler’s retirement, with Alex Bores close behind and Jack Schlossberg further back. Lasher benefits from Nadler’s endorsement, Bloomberg super PAC spending exceeding $4 million, and strong Upper West Side organization, while Bores draws support from AI-focused donors and East Side networks. Schlossberg’s early polling strength from name recognition has not translated into comparable local infrastructure or older-voter backing. Recent forums and a voter-file analysis showing 65–75 percent turnout among those 50 and older have reinforced the edge for the two assembly members. Traders appear to view the contest as a battle of established local bases versus celebrity appeal, with any late endorsements or turnout shifts among seniors likely to widen the gap before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$362,488
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Micah Lasher holds a narrow lead in the June 23 Democratic primary for New York’s 12th congressional district after Jerry Nadler’s retirement, with Alex Bores close behind and Jack Schlossberg further back. Lasher benefits from Nadler’s endorsement, Bloomberg super PAC spending exceeding $4 million, and strong Upper West Side organization, while Bores draws support from AI-focused donors and East Side networks. Schlossberg’s early polling strength from name recognition has not translated into comparable local infrastructure or older-voter backing. Recent forums and a voter-file analysis showing 65–75 percent turnout among those 50 and older have reinforced the edge for the two assembly members. Traders appear to view the contest as a battle of established local bases versus celebrity appeal, with any late endorsements or turnout shifts among seniors likely to widen the gap before primary day.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$362,488
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 23, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 21, 2025, 10:47 AM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NY-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on June 23, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 19 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Micah Lasher" sa 45%, sinusundan ng "Alex Bores" sa 38%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 45¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 45% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $362.5K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 21, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 19 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Micah Lasher" sa 45%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 45% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Alex Bores" sa 38%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "NY-12 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.