The crowded field of 14 candidates in the June 2 primary has kept all contenders well short of the 50 percent threshold required for an outright win, with recent polls showing incumbent Karen Bass at 25–35 percent, Spencer Pratt at 18–22 percent, and Nithya Raman at 19–23 percent amid 16–40 percent undecided voters. Vote fragmentation across the nonpartisan ballot, combined with no candidate consolidating a majority in any survey, has reinforced the expectation of a November runoff between the top two finishers. This aligns with Los Angeles’s long-standing pattern in mayoral primaries, where high undecided shares and multiple viable challengers have consistently prevented any first-round majority in recent decades.