Skip to main content
icon for PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Primarya Ng Pennsylvania

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Primarya Ng Pennsylvania

PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner

Janelle Stelson 97.4%

Michael Robinson 1.8%

Justin Douglas 1.0%

Jason Cass <1%

Polymarket

$21,780 Vol.

Janelle Stelson 97.4%

Michael Robinson 1.8%

Justin Douglas 1.0%

Jason Cass <1%

Polymarket

$21,780 Vol.

Janelle Stelson

$8,161 Vol.

97%

Michael Robinson

$1,438 Vol.

2%

Justin Douglas

$1,284 Vol.

1%

Jason Cass

$9,254 Vol.

1%

William Lillich

$1,644 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Janelle Stelson commands 97% trader consensus in the PA-10 Democratic primary set for May 19, driven by her fundraising dominance—over $2.1 million raised in Q1 alone—substantial name recognition from her narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Scott Perry, and internal polling showing a 20-point lead over challengers. Recent candidate forums highlighted divides between Stelson's centrist appeal and progressive Justin Douglas's platform, but her strategic debate skips underscore frontrunner confidence amid weak opposition from Michael Robinson and others. With early voting underway, a late scandal, surge in progressive turnout, or Douglas endorsement momentum could narrow the gap, though structural advantages make upsets unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,780
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Janelle Stelson commands 97% trader consensus in the PA-10 Democratic primary set for May 19, driven by her fundraising dominance—over $2.1 million raised in Q1 alone—substantial name recognition from her narrow 2024 general election loss to incumbent Scott Perry, and internal polling showing a 20-point lead over challengers. Recent candidate forums highlighted divides between Stelson's centrist appeal and progressive Justin Douglas's platform, but her strategic debate skips underscore frontrunner confidence amid weak opposition from Michael Robinson and others. With early voting underway, a late scandal, surge in progressive turnout, or Douglas endorsement momentum could narrow the gap, though structural advantages make upsets unlikely.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$21,780
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 2, 2026, 7:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Janelle Stelson" sa 97%, sinusundan ng "Michael Robinson" sa 2%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 97¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 97% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $21.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 3, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Janelle Stelson" sa 97%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 97% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Michael Robinson" sa 2%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "PA-10 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.