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Halalan·Primarya Ng Pennsylvania

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner
Halalan·Primarya Ng Pennsylvania

PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner

Bob Brooks 89%

Lamont McClure 5.8%

Carol Obando-Derstine 3.8%

Ryan Crosswell 3.7%

Polymarket

$28,136 Vol.

Bob Brooks 89%

Lamont McClure 5.8%

Carol Obando-Derstine 3.8%

Ryan Crosswell 3.7%

Polymarket

$28,136 Vol.

Bob Brooks

$4,391 Vol.

89%

Lamont McClure

$5,979 Vol.

6%

Carol Obando-Derstine

$5,649 Vol.

4%

Ryan Crosswell

$4,714 Vol.

4%

Aiden Gonzalez

$2,973 Vol.

<1%

Lewis Shupe

$4,430 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks holds overwhelming trader support in the Pennsylvania 7th Congressional District Democratic primary because of his recent major endorsements from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Governor Josh Shapiro, and key labor groups including the International Association of Fire Fighters. These developments have consolidated backing among union households and party infrastructure in the Lehigh Valley swing seat ahead of the May 19 primary. Fundraising reports show Brooks and Ryan Crosswell in a virtual dead heat, yet Brooks leads recent polling once voters hear biographical details. Crosswell, a former federal prosecutor and Marine Corps veteran, retains a modest following on messaging around government integrity and affordability, while Lamont McClure and Carol Obando-Derstine trail with narrower bases. The market reflects this late consolidation around the strongest organized campaign just days before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$28,136
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Bob Brooks holds overwhelming trader support in the Pennsylvania 7th Congressional District Democratic primary because of his recent major endorsements from the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee, Governor Josh Shapiro, and key labor groups including the International Association of Fire Fighters. These developments have consolidated backing among union households and party infrastructure in the Lehigh Valley swing seat ahead of the May 19 primary. Fundraising reports show Brooks and Ryan Crosswell in a virtual dead heat, yet Brooks leads recent polling once voters hear biographical details. Crosswell, a former federal prosecutor and Marine Corps veteran, retains a modest following on messaging around government integrity and affordability, while Lamont McClure and Carol Obando-Derstine trail with narrower bases. The market reflects this late consolidation around the strongest organized campaign just days before ballots are cast.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$28,136
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 1:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the PA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 6 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Bob Brooks" sa 89%, sinusundan ng "Lamont McClure" sa 6%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 89¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 89% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $28.1K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 6 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Bob Brooks" sa 89%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 89% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Lamont McClure" sa 6%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "PA-07 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.