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icon for Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar

Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar

icon for Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar

Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 99.3%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Mario Vizcarra <1%

Alfonso López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$6,239,263 Vol.

Roberto Sánchez Palomino 99.3%

Rafael López Aliaga <1%

Mario Vizcarra <1%

Alfonso López Chau <1%

Polymarket

$6,239,263 Vol.

icon for Roberto Sánchez Palomino

Roberto Sánchez Palomino

$2,609,180 Vol.

99%

icon for Rafael López Aliaga

Rafael López Aliaga

$1,985,877 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mario Vizcarra

Mario Vizcarra

$31,205 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alfonso López Chau

Alfonso López Chau

$101,197 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Luna

José Luna

$23,027 Vol.

<1%

icon for Enrique Valderrama

Enrique Valderrama

$20,433 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Espá

Carlos Espá

$26,528 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

Rafael Belaúnde Llosa

$18,794 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mesías Guevara

Mesías Guevara

$22,801 Vol.

<1%

icon for George Forsyth

George Forsyth

$22,370 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fiorella Molinelli

Fiorella Molinelli

$21,387 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jorge Nieto

Jorge Nieto

$439,321 Vol.

<1%

icon for César Acuña

César Acuña

$22,997 Vol.

<1%

icon for José Williams

José Williams

$22,855 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ricardo Belmont

Ricardo Belmont

$216,721 Vol.

<1%

icon for Keiko Fujimori

Keiko Fujimori

$415,866 Vol.

<1%

icon for Carlos Álvarez

Carlos Álvarez

$95,203 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vladimir Cerrón

Vladimir Cerrón

$22,326 Vol.

<1%

icon for Roberto Chiabra

Roberto Chiabra

$21,944 Vol.

<1%

icon for Fernando Olivera

Fernando Olivera

$22,599 Vol.

<1%

icon for Yonhy Lescano

Yonhy Lescano

$31,742 Vol.

<1%

icon for Marisol Pérez Tello

Marisol Pérez Tello

$22,638 Vol.

<1%

icon for Wolfgang Grozo

Wolfgang Grozo

$22,250 Vol.

<1%

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Preliminary results from Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election have solidified Roberto Sánchez Palomino's second-place position at around 12-15% of the vote, trailing leader Keiko Fujimori, as rural tallies boosted his leftist Juntos por el Perú campaign past far-right rival Rafael López Aliaga in a tight contest for the runoff spot. Trader consensus at 99.3% reflects near-certainty of official certification by the National Jury of Elections ahead of the June 7 runoff, despite fraud allegations from López Aliaga supporters and isolated protests that have failed to yield recounts. Recent prosecutorial scrutiny over past campaign financing has not impacted vote validation. Challenges would require substantiated irregularities overturning tallies, an unlikely outcome given observer consensus and historical patterns in Peru's fragmented multiparty system.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$6,239,263
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)Preliminary results from Peru's April 12 first-round presidential election have solidified Roberto Sánchez Palomino's second-place position at around 12-15% of the vote, trailing leader Keiko Fujimori, as rural tallies boosted his leftist Juntos por el Perú campaign past far-right rival Rafael López Aliaga in a tight contest for the runoff spot. Trader consensus at 99.3% reflects near-certainty of official certification by the National Jury of Elections ahead of the June 7 runoff, despite fraud allegations from López Aliaga supporters and isolated protests that have failed to yield recounts. Recent prosecutorial scrutiny over past campaign financing has not impacted vote validation. Challenges would require substantiated irregularities overturning tallies, an unlikely outcome given observer consensus and historical patterns in Peru's fragmented multiparty system.

First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)
Volume
$6,239,263
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 12, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 20, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
First-round presidential elections are scheduled to be held in Peru on April 12, 2026, with a potential second round on June 7, 2026, if no candidate receives more than 50% of the valid votes outright. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who receives the second-most valid votes in the first round of this election. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the results are not known definitively by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely on the official results as reported by the Peruvian government, specifically the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE) (https://www.onpe.gob.pe/elecciones/) and the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE) (https://portal.jne.gob.pe/portal/)

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 23 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" sa 99%, sinusundan ng "Rafael López Aliaga" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 99¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar" ay naka-generate ng $6.2 million sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 20, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar," i-browse ang 23 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar" ay "Roberto Sánchez Palomino" sa 99%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 99% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Rafael López Aliaga" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Unang Ikot ng Halalan sa Pangulo ng Peru: Ika -2 Lugar" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.