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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

icon for AL-01 Republican Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

AL-01 Republican Primary Winner

Jerry Carl 100.0%

Rhett Marques 5.5%

James Dees <1%

Joshua McKee <1%

Polymarket

$50,725 Vol.

Jerry Carl 100.0%

Rhett Marques 5.5%

James Dees <1%

Joshua McKee <1%

Polymarket

$50,725 Vol.

Jerry Carl

$6,571 Vol.

Yes

James Dees

$4,733 Vol.

No

Rhett Marques

$1,081 Vol.

No

Joshua McKee

$242 Vol.

No

John Mills

$16,885 Vol.

No

James Richardson

$7,329 Vol.

No

Austin Sidwell

$13,885 Vol.

No

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 11, 2026, special primary, driving the market's 100% consensus on his victory. As the former U.S. representative for the district from 2021 to 2025, Carl benefited from strong name recognition, established local networks in Mobile and Baldwin counties, and the open seat created by incumbent Barry Moore's Senate bid. His campaign emphasized continuity on district priorities amid low-turnout concerns for the special election. With results now finalized and Carl advancing to face the Democratic nominee in November, the implied probability reflects confirmed primary outcomes. Late shifts remain possible only in the event of unresolved procedural disputes, such as official certification delays or recounts, though historical patterns in Alabama Republican primaries show such challenges rarely alter decisive results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,725
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jerry Carl secured the Republican nomination for Alabama's 1st Congressional District in the August 11, 2026, special primary, driving the market's 100% consensus on his victory. As the former U.S. representative for the district from 2021 to 2025, Carl benefited from strong name recognition, established local networks in Mobile and Baldwin counties, and the open seat created by incumbent Barry Moore's Senate bid. His campaign emphasized continuity on district priorities amid low-turnout concerns for the special election. With results now finalized and Carl advancing to face the Democratic nominee in November, the implied probability reflects confirmed primary outcomes. Late shifts remain possible only in the event of unresolved procedural disputes, such as official certification delays or recounts, though historical patterns in Alabama Republican primaries show such challenges rarely alter decisive results.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$50,725
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
May 19, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AL-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on May 19, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Na-propose ang outcome: Yes

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: Yes

Kaugnay

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 7 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jerry Carl" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "James Dees" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $50.7K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Mar 26, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner," i-browse ang 7 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay "Jerry Carl" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "James Dees" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "AL-01 Republican Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.