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icon for Oklahoma Republican Governor Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Oklahoma Republican Governor Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

icon for Oklahoma Republican Governor Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Oklahoma Republican Governor Primary Runoff Margin of Victory

Mazzei <5% 100.0%

Drummond 25%+ <1%

Drummond 20–25% <1%

Drummond 15–20% <1%

Polymarket

$2,386 Vol.

Mazzei <5% 100.0%

Drummond 25%+ <1%

Drummond 20–25% <1%

Drummond 15–20% <1%

Polymarket

$2,386 Vol.

icon for Drummond 25%+

Drummond 25%+

$78 Vol.

No

icon for Drummond 20–25%

Drummond 20–25%

$139 Vol.

No

icon for Drummond 15–20%

Drummond 15–20%

$139 Vol.

No

icon for Drummond 10–15%

Drummond 10–15%

$322 Vol.

No

icon for Drummond 5–10%

Drummond 5–10%

$89 Vol.

No

icon for Drummond <5%

Drummond <5%

$321 Vol.

No

icon for Mazzei <5%

Mazzei <5%

$816 Vol.

Yes

icon for Mazzei 5–10%

Mazzei 5–10%

$80 Vol.

No

icon for Mazzei 10–15%

Mazzei 10–15%

$43 Vol.

No

icon for Mazzei 15–20%

Mazzei 15–20%

$123 Vol.

No

icon for Mazzei 20–25%

Mazzei 20–25%

$114 Vol.

No

icon for Mazzei 25%+

Mazzei 25%+

$119 Vol.

No

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor in the August 25 runoff by defeating Attorney General Gentner Drummond with 50.3% of the vote to 49.7%, a margin under 5 percentage points confirmed across nearly all precincts. Trader consensus on a narrow Mazzei victory reflects Trump's May endorsement of the former state senator, his $11.6 million in personal loans, and heavy outside spending from groups like Club for Growth targeting Drummond. Drummond's edge in the June primary was erased by the runoff dynamics, including endorsements for Mazzei from term-limited Governor Kevin Stitt and Senator Markwayne Mullin, plus voter consolidation from eliminated candidates. The result aligns with the state's solidly Republican lean and historical patterns in low-turnout runoffs. Late vote certification or recounts in close counties could still shift the exact margin, though current tallies show no realistic path to reversal.

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$2,386
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 25, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Mike Mazzei secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma governor in the August 25 runoff by defeating Attorney General Gentner Drummond with 50.3% of the vote to 49.7%, a margin under 5 percentage points confirmed across nearly all precincts. Trader consensus on a narrow Mazzei victory reflects Trump's May endorsement of the former state senator, his $11.6 million in personal loans, and heavy outside spending from groups like Club for Growth targeting Drummond. Drummond's edge in the June primary was erased by the runoff dynamics, including endorsements for Mazzei from term-limited Governor Kevin Stitt and Senator Markwayne Mullin, plus voter consolidation from eliminated candidates. The result aligns with the state's solidly Republican lean and historical patterns in low-turnout runoffs. Late vote certification or recounts in close counties could still shift the exact margin, though current tallies show no realistic path to reversal.

Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff.

For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.

If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official.

If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Primary runoff elections in Oklahoma are scheduled to be held on August 25, 2026. This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the two candidates in the Oklahoma Republican Gubernatorial Primary Runoff. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates. Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If two candidates receive the exact same highest number of valid votes and both are listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for the tied candidate whose last name comes first alphabetically. If only one of the tied candidates is listed, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket for that listed candidate. If neither tied candidate is listed, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on the official vote count once the count has been made official. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Oklahoma, such as official statewide results published by the Oklahoma State Election Board; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$2,386
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Aug 25, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Aug 20, 2026, 5:39 PM ET

Na-propose ang outcome: No

Walang dispute

Pinal na outcome: No

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Oklahoma Republican Governor Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Mazzei <5%" sa 100%, sinusundan ng "Drummond 25%+" sa 0%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 100¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "Oklahoma Republican Governor Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Aug 20, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "Oklahoma Republican Governor Primary Runoff Margin of Victory," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Oklahoma Republican Governor Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" ay "Mazzei <5%" sa 100%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 100% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Drummond 25%+" sa 0%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Oklahoma Republican Governor Primary Runoff Margin of Victory" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.