Augusto Cury, the Avante candidate and first-time presidential contender, rose sharply in late August 2026 through social media growth and national TV debates, reaching double digits in some surveys before stabilizing in the mid-single digits amid the dominant Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro contest. Recent polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and others in early-to-mid September consistently places him third at 6-8 percent, drawing support from independents seeking an alternative to polarization. Traders assign the highest probability to a 6 percent or higher first-round share on October 4 because his current trajectory and visibility exceed the lower bins, though final voter turnout, undecided shifts, and any late campaign dynamics could still compress or lift the result.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update6%+ 45%
2-4% 27%
4-6% 25%
1-2% 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
<1%
24%
1-2%
11%
2-4%
20%
4-6%
25%
6%+
45%
6%+ 45%
2-4% 27%
4-6% 25%
1-2% 11%
BAGO
BAGO
Oct 4, 2026
<1%
$76 Vol.
24%
1-2%
$80 Vol.
11%
2-4%
$431 Vol.
20%
4-6%
$155 Vol.
25%
6%+
$579 Vol.
45%
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Augusto Cury, the Avante candidate and first-time presidential contender, rose sharply in late August 2026 through social media growth and national TV debates, reaching double digits in some surveys before stabilizing in the mid-single digits amid the dominant Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro contest. Recent polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and others in early-to-mid September consistently places him third at 6-8 percent, drawing support from independents seeking an alternative to polarization. Traders assign the highest probability to a 6 percent or higher first-round share on October 4 because his current trajectory and visibility exceed the lower bins, though final voter turnout, undecided shifts, and any late campaign dynamics could still compress or lift the result.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ET
Volume
$1,320Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).Augusto Cury, the Avante candidate and first-time presidential contender, rose sharply in late August 2026 through social media growth and national TV debates, reaching double digits in some surveys before stabilizing in the mid-single digits amid the dominant Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro contest. Recent polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and others in early-to-mid September consistently places him third at 6-8 percent, drawing support from independents seeking an alternative to polarization. Traders assign the highest probability to a 6 percent or higher first-round share on October 4 because his current trajectory and visibility exceed the lower bins, though final voter turnout, undecided shifts, and any late campaign dynamics could still compress or lift the result.
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Augusto Cury in the first round of this election.
The percentage of valid votes received by the specified candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes the candidate receives in the first round by the sum of all valid votes cast in the first round.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the specified candidate does not appear on the ballot in the first round, or otherwise receives no valid votes, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official vote count.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
If the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, including the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
Volume
$1,320Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 5, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 15, 2026, 10:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Augusto Cury, the Avante candidate and first-time presidential contender, rose sharply in late August 2026 through social media growth and national TV debates, reaching double digits in some surveys before stabilizing in the mid-single digits amid the dominant Lula-Flávio Bolsonaro contest. Recent polling from Quaest, Datafolha, and others in early-to-mid September consistently places him third at 6-8 percent, drawing support from independents seeking an alternative to polarization. Traders assign the highest probability to a 6 percent or higher first-round share on October 4 because his current trajectory and visibility exceed the lower bins, though final voter turnout, undecided shifts, and any late campaign dynamics could still compress or lift the result.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateKaugnay
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win 39% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
71%
Will Renan Santos win between 2% and 4% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
40%
Will Lula win 44% or more of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
42%
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