**Brazilian Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes continues to exercise his full mandate with no successful removal proceedings underway.** Multiple impeachment petitions have been filed by opposition lawmakers, including a new request submitted on August 12, 2026, over a police operation that identified a journalist’s source, yet these face the high procedural threshold for STF ministers, which requires Senate approval and has repeatedly stalled short of advancement. Moraes remains the rapporteur in high-profile cases involving former President Jair Bolsonaro’s conviction and ongoing prison conditions, issuing recent rulings on family visits and sentencing laws as late as August 2026. External pressures, such as prior U.S. sanctions (lifted in December 2025) and reported discussions of new measures, have not altered his institutional status or prompted domestic removal action. Traders price the “No” outcome at 91.5% because removal demands sustained congressional supermajority support that has not materialized despite repeated opposition initiatives.