Skip to main content
icon for Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

icon for Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner

Ed Markey 71%

Seth Moulton 25%

Ayanna Pressley <1%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Polymarket

$13,018 Vol.

Ed Markey 71%

Seth Moulton 25%

Ayanna Pressley <1%

Alexander Rikleen <1%

Polymarket

$13,018 Vol.

Ed Markey

$5,989 Vol.

71%

Seth Moulton

$4,065 Vol.

25%

Ayanna Pressley

$1,881 Vol.

1%

Alexander Rikleen

$1,084 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey maintains a strong trader consensus lead at 71% implied probability in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, buoyed by his incumbency advantage, name recognition from defeating Joe Kennedy in 2020, and consistent fundraising edge ahead of the September 1 primary. Rep. Seth Moulton, polling second at 25%, has gained momentum from a May 3-4 Emerson College survey showing Markey ahead 37%-32% among likely voters with 29% undecided, narrowing what was a wider gap in prior polls like April UNH data. Reps. Ayanna Pressley and Alexander Rikleen trail far behind at under 1% each, reflecting minimal campaign visibility and support in a two-way contest dominated by progressive veteran versus moderate challenger dynamics. High undecideds signal volatility from potential endorsements or debates.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$13,018
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.Incumbent Sen. Ed Markey maintains a strong trader consensus lead at 71% implied probability in the Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary, buoyed by his incumbency advantage, name recognition from defeating Joe Kennedy in 2020, and consistent fundraising edge ahead of the September 1 primary. Rep. Seth Moulton, polling second at 25%, has gained momentum from a May 3-4 Emerson College survey showing Markey ahead 37%-32% among likely voters with 29% undecided, narrowing what was a wider gap in prior polls like April UNH data. Reps. Ayanna Pressley and Alexander Rikleen trail far behind at under 1% each, reflecting minimal campaign visibility and support in a two-way contest dominated by progressive veteran versus moderate challenger dynamics. High undecideds signal volatility from potential endorsements or debates.

This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts.

If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Volume
$13,018
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Dec 2, 2025, 3:26 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the winner of the Democratic Primary for United States Senator from Massachusetts. If no 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary takes place, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Massachusetts Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.

Mag-ingat sa mga external link.

Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 4 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Ed Markey" sa 71%, sinusundan ng "Seth Moulton" sa 25%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 71¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $13K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Dec 2, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner," i-browse ang 4 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" ay "Ed Markey" sa 71%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 71% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Seth Moulton" sa 25%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Massachusetts Democratic Senate Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.