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Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

icon for MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Politika·Mga Pangunahing Kaalaman

MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner

Dan Koh 80%

Tram Nguyen 3.3%

John Beccia 2.6%

Rachel Creemers 2.0%

Polymarket

$36,919 Vol.

Dan Koh 80%

Tram Nguyen 3.3%

John Beccia 2.6%

Rachel Creemers 2.0%

Polymarket

$36,919 Vol.

Dan Koh

$4,562 Vol.

80%

Tram Nguyen

$4,427 Vol.

3%

John Beccia

$1,766 Vol.

3%

Rachel Creemers

$2,182 Vol.

2%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$5,158 Vol.

2%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$2,276 Vol.

2%

Kevin Larivee

$1,519 Vol.

2%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,896 Vol.

1%

Seth Moulton

$1,876 Vol.

1%

Rick Jakious

$3,479 Vol.

1%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,592 Vol.

<1%

Dominick Pangallo

$6,189 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Dan Koh holds a commanding 79.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the MA-06 Democratic primary, driven by dominant ActBlue fundraising, a lead in the sole credible poll, and high-profile endorsements including former President Biden's May 4 call and recent backing from Swampscott Select Board Chair Phelan, End Citizens United, and Massachusetts Nurses Association.** Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge against Ed Markey opened the safely Democratic seat, attracting a crowded field with state Rep. Tram Nguyen at 3.3% and John Beccia at 2.6%. Rick Jakious's April dropout consolidated support toward frontrunners, but forums and voter outreach continue ahead of the September 1 primary. Late polling shifts or scandals could narrow Koh's edge in this open race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,919
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.**Dan Koh holds a commanding 79.5% implied probability in trader consensus for the MA-06 Democratic primary, driven by dominant ActBlue fundraising, a lead in the sole credible poll, and high-profile endorsements including former President Biden's May 4 call and recent backing from Swampscott Select Board Chair Phelan, End Citizens United, and Massachusetts Nurses Association.** Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton's Senate challenge against Ed Markey opened the safely Democratic seat, attracting a crowded field with state Rep. Tram Nguyen at 3.3% and John Beccia at 2.6%. Rick Jakious's April dropout consolidated support toward frontrunners, but forums and voter outreach continue ahead of the September 1 primary. Late polling shifts or scandals could narrow Koh's edge in this open race.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$36,919
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 15, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Dan Koh" sa 80%, sinusundan ng "Tram Nguyen" sa 3%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 80¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay naka-generate ng $36.9K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 25, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay "Dan Koh" sa 80%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 80% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Tram Nguyen" sa 3%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.