Recent polling averages place Sweden’s Green Party (Miljöpartiet) in the 6.3–6.8% range ahead of the 13 September parliamentary election, consistent with the market’s leading 5–7% outcome. The party has held steady near these levels through mid-2026 surveys from Demoskop and SCB, recovering modestly from its 5.1% result in 2022 while remaining below the stronger historical peaks achieved during prior centre-left governments. The broader red-green opposition bloc leads the governing Tidö alliance in most surveys, yet Green support shows limited volatility and no major recent catalysts such as leadership changes, policy breakthroughs, or scandals. Traders appear to price the 7–9% and sub-5% bands lower because current data clusters tightly around 6–7%, with only limited time remaining for late swings before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update5-7% 51%
7-9% 32%
<5% 16.0%
9%+ 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 13, 2026
<5%
16%
5-7%
51%
7-9%
32%
9%+
6%
5-7% 51%
7-9% 32%
<5% 16.0%
9%+ 6%
BAGO
BAGO
Sep 13, 2026
<5%
$72 Vol.
16%
5-7%
$531 Vol.
51%
7-9%
$419 Vol.
32%
9%+
$59 Vol.
6%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Sweden’s Green Party (Miljöpartiet) in the 6.3–6.8% range ahead of the 13 September parliamentary election, consistent with the market’s leading 5–7% outcome. The party has held steady near these levels through mid-2026 surveys from Demoskop and SCB, recovering modestly from its 5.1% result in 2022 while remaining below the stronger historical peaks achieved during prior centre-left governments. The broader red-green opposition bloc leads the governing Tidö alliance in most surveys, yet Green support shows limited volatility and no major recent catalysts such as leadership changes, policy breakthroughs, or scandals. Traders appear to price the 7–9% and sub-5% bands lower because current data clusters tightly around 6–7%, with only limited time remaining for late swings before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Binuksan ang Market: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$1,081Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polling averages place Sweden’s Green Party (Miljöpartiet) in the 6.3–6.8% range ahead of the 13 September parliamentary election, consistent with the market’s leading 5–7% outcome. The party has held steady near these levels through mid-2026 surveys from Demoskop and SCB, recovering modestly from its 5.1% result in 2022 while remaining below the stronger historical peaks achieved during prior centre-left governments. The broader red-green opposition bloc leads the governing Tidö alliance in most surveys, yet Green support shows limited volatility and no major recent catalysts such as leadership changes, policy breakthroughs, or scandals. Traders appear to price the 7–9% and sub-5% bands lower because current data clusters tightly around 6–7%, with only limited time remaining for late swings before election day.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$1,081Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 13, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling averages place Sweden’s Green Party (Miljöpartiet) in the 6.3–6.8% range ahead of the 13 September parliamentary election, consistent with the market’s leading 5–7% outcome. The party has held steady near these levels through mid-2026 surveys from Demoskop and SCB, recovering modestly from its 5.1% result in 2022 while remaining below the stronger historical peaks achieved during prior centre-left governments. The broader red-green opposition bloc leads the governing Tidö alliance in most surveys, yet Green support shows limited volatility and no major recent catalysts such as leadership changes, policy breakthroughs, or scandals. Traders appear to price the 7–9% and sub-5% bands lower because current data clusters tightly around 6–7%, with only limited time remaining for late swings before election day.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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