Beatriz Mojica Morga holds an overwhelming lead in the Guerrero gubernatorial race as the designated coordinator and presumptive Morena nominee for the June 2027 election. Recent internal party surveys conducted in September 2026 showed her topping metrics for name recognition, positive opinion, and voter preference within the Morena-PT-PVEM coalition, prompting her formal selection and endorsements from party leadership. This outcome aligns with broader polling indicating Morena's dominant statewide support and Mojica's double-digit advantages over opposition figures such as Manuel Añorve Baños. Lower probabilities for other listed contenders reflect limited visibility or party backing, with trader consensus pricing in the structural advantages of the ruling coalition's unified ticket nine months before voting.