Recent Israeli polling ahead of the October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–27 seat range across multiple surveys, reflecting voter fatigue with the long-running Netanyahu-led coalition, lingering security concerns after October 7, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s rising Yashar party. The market’s near-even split between the 20–24 and 25–29 seat bins captures this uncertainty, as Likud’s primary results and coalition partner performance remain fluid. Separation could emerge from shifts in ultra-Orthodox turnout, major security developments altering threat perceptions, or clearer coalition arithmetic in the final weeks that either consolidates or fragments the right-wing bloc.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update25-29 33%
20-24 31%
<20 18.0%
30-34 16%
$101,737 Vol.
$101,737 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
18%
20-24
31%
25-29
33%
30-34
16%
35+
5%
25-29 33%
20-24 31%
<20 18.0%
30-34 16%
$101,737 Vol.
$101,737 Vol.
Oct 27, 2026
<20
$33,123 Vol.
18%
20-24
$15,529 Vol.
31%
25-29
$24,412 Vol.
33%
30-34
$19,425 Vol.
16%
35+
$9,249 Vol.
5%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polling ahead of the October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–27 seat range across multiple surveys, reflecting voter fatigue with the long-running Netanyahu-led coalition, lingering security concerns after October 7, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s rising Yashar party. The market’s near-even split between the 20–24 and 25–29 seat bins captures this uncertainty, as Likud’s primary results and coalition partner performance remain fluid. Separation could emerge from shifts in ultra-Orthodox turnout, major security developments altering threat perceptions, or clearer coalition arithmetic in the final weeks that either consolidates or fragments the right-wing bloc.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Binuksan ang Market: Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ET
Volume
$101,737Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).Recent Israeli polling ahead of the October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–27 seat range across multiple surveys, reflecting voter fatigue with the long-running Netanyahu-led coalition, lingering security concerns after October 7, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s rising Yashar party. The market’s near-even split between the 20–24 and 25–29 seat bins captures this uncertainty, as Likud’s primary results and coalition partner performance remain fluid. Separation could emerge from shifts in ultra-Orthodox turnout, major security developments altering threat perceptions, or clearer coalition arithmetic in the final weeks that either consolidates or fragments the right-wing bloc.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by the Likud party in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
If the Likud party contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If the Likud party merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the Likud party in this election.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by Israel’s Central Election Committee (Va'adet HaBehirot HaMerkazit) (https://www.gov.il/en/departments/central-elections-committee/govil-landing-page).
Volume
$101,737Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Oct 27, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Apr 29, 2026, 7:51 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Israeli polling ahead of the October 27 Knesset election places Likud in a narrow 21–27 seat range across multiple surveys, reflecting voter fatigue with the long-running Netanyahu-led coalition, lingering security concerns after October 7, and competition from Gadi Eisenkot’s rising Yashar party. The market’s near-even split between the 20–24 and 25–29 seat bins captures this uncertainty, as Likud’s primary results and coalition partner performance remain fluid. Separation could emerge from shifts in ultra-Orthodox turnout, major security developments altering threat perceptions, or clearer coalition arithmetic in the final weeks that either consolidates or fragments the right-wing bloc.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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