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icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Halalan·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

icon for 2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?
Halalan·France

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

$286,342 Vol.

Apr 17, 2027
Polymarket

$286,342 Vol.

Polymarket
icon for Jean-Luc Mélenchon

Jean-Luc Mélenchon

$8,680 Vol.

95%

icon for Marine Le Pen

Marine Le Pen

$25,180 Vol.

87%

icon for Nathalie Arthaud

Nathalie Arthaud

$6,973 Vol.

87%

icon for Fabien Roussel

Fabien Roussel

$3,614 Vol.

86%

icon for Édouard Philippe

Édouard Philippe

$13,526 Vol.

81%

icon for Bruno Retailleau

Bruno Retailleau

$9,331 Vol.

75%

icon for Éric Zemmour

Éric Zemmour

$7,490 Vol.

63%

icon for Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

Nicolas Dupont-Aignan

$1,597 Vol.

56%

icon for David Lisnard

David Lisnard

$6,768 Vol.

56%

icon for Raphaël Glucksmann

Raphaël Glucksmann

$7,872 Vol.

54%

icon for Sarah Knafo

Sarah Knafo

$13,720 Vol.

40%

icon for François Ruffin

François Ruffin

$1,726 Vol.

35%

icon for Gabriel Attal

Gabriel Attal

$9,905 Vol.

32%

icon for François Hollande

François Hollande

$10,189 Vol.

31%

icon for Dominique de Villepin

Dominique de Villepin

$11,156 Vol.

29%

icon for Marine Tondelier

Marine Tondelier

$6,812 Vol.

25%

icon for Olivier Faure

Olivier Faure

$3,599 Vol.

20%

icon for Xavier Bertrand

Xavier Bertrand

$4,908 Vol.

14%

icon for Jordan Bardella

Jordan Bardella

$20,077 Vol.

13%

icon for François Asselineau

François Asselineau

$9,453 Vol.

13%

icon for Bernard Cazeneuve

Bernard Cazeneuve

$8,494 Vol.

12%

icon for Juan Branco

Juan Branco

$6,164 Vol.

11%

icon for Jérôme Guedj

Jérôme Guedj

$4,377 Vol.

11%

icon for Matthieu Pigasse

Matthieu Pigasse

$11,252 Vol.

10%

icon for Manuel Bompard

Manuel Bompard

$3,341 Vol.

9%

icon for Sébastien Lecornu

Sébastien Lecornu

$1,161 Vol.

8%

icon for Gérald Darmanin

Gérald Darmanin

$3,688 Vol.

8%

icon for Michel-Edouard Leclerc

Michel-Edouard Leclerc

$7,903 Vol.

8%

icon for Philippe de Villiers

Philippe de Villiers

$3,109 Vol.

8%

icon for Karim Bouamrane

Karim Bouamrane

$3,119 Vol.

8%

icon for Ségolène Royal

Ségolène Royal

$1,824 Vol.

7%

icon for Jean-Michel Fauvergue

Jean-Michel Fauvergue

$1,596 Vol.

7%

icon for Manuel Valls

Manuel Valls

$985 Vol.

6%

icon for François Bayrou

François Bayrou

$5,018 Vol.

6%

icon for Valérie Pécresse

Valérie Pécresse

$625 Vol.

5%

icon for Jean Castex

Jean Castex

$2,849 Vol.

4%

icon for Laurent Wauquiez

Laurent Wauquiez

$20,160 Vol.

4%

icon for Teddy Riner

Teddy Riner

$364 Vol.

3%

icon for Carole Delga

Carole Delga

$3,088 Vol.

3%

icon for Clémentine Autain

Clémentine Autain

$1,598 Vol.

3%

icon for Yaël Braun-Pivet

Yaël Braun-Pivet

$595 Vol.

3%

icon for Bally Bagayoko

Bally Bagayoko

$6,462 Vol.

3%

icon for Mathilde Panot

Mathilde Panot

$1,934 Vol.

3%

icon for Delphine Batho

Delphine Batho

$829 Vol.

3%

icon for Élisabeth Borne

Élisabeth Borne

$994 Vol.

2%

icon for Michel Barnier

Michel Barnier

$2,236 Vol.

2%

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, set for April with a potential runoff in May, features an open field after Emmanuel Macron's ineligibility under the two-term limit. Trader focus centers on signature thresholds for ballot access, party nominations within fragmented centrist and right-wing blocs, and Marine Le Pen's ongoing appeal of her 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected soon. Jordan Bardella leads National Rally positioning and polls, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon has confirmed a left-wing bid; multiple center-right figures including Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are actively competing for endorsements. Upcoming party congresses and signature drives through early 2027 will shape the official Constitutional Council list.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$286,342
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 17, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.France's 2027 presidential election, set for April with a potential runoff in May, features an open field after Emmanuel Macron's ineligibility under the two-term limit. Trader focus centers on signature thresholds for ballot access, party nominations within fragmented centrist and right-wing blocs, and Marine Le Pen's ongoing appeal of her 2025 embezzlement conviction and five-year office ban, with a ruling expected soon. Jordan Bardella leads National Rally positioning and polls, while Jean-Luc Mélenchon has confirmed a left-wing bid; multiple center-right figures including Gabriel Attal and Édouard Philippe are actively competing for endorsements. Upcoming party congresses and signature drives through early 2027 will shape the official Constitutional Council list.

The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$286,342
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Apr 17, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 22, 2026, 6:23 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
The next French presidential election is currently expected to be held in April 2027. Prior to the election, the French Constitutional Council is expected to publish the official list of candidates to be included on the ballot for the first round of this election. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed individual is included on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If no such candidate list is published prior to the election, this market will resolve based on which candidates actually appear on the ballot when the election takes place. If no list is published and the specified election does not take place by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official candidate list published by the French Constitutional Council; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Kaugnay

icon for Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?

76%
icon for Mananalo ba si Marine Le Pen sa 2027 halalan ng pagkapangulo sa Pransya?

Mananalo ba si Marine Le Pen sa 2027 halalan ng pagkapangulo sa Pransya?

32%
Oo
icon for Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

Will Marine Le Pen advance to the second round of the next French presidential election?

87%

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 46+ posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" sa 95%, sinusundan ng "Marine Le Pen" sa 87%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 95¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay naka-generate ng $286.3K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Apr 22, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?," i-browse ang 46+ available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" sa 95%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 95% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Marine Le Pen" sa 87%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.