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icon for António Guterres out by December 31?
Heopolitika·UN

António Guterres out by December 31?

icon for António Guterres out by December 31?
Heopolitika·UN

António Guterres out by December 31?

26% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
26% tsansa
Polymarket
BAGO
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**António Guterres is expected to complete his second five-year term as UN Secretary-General on December 31, 2026.** The selection process for his successor is already underway, with the Security Council and General Assembly advancing nominations and interactive dialogues involving multiple candidates. Official statements and UN procedures confirm that Guterres has not announced intentions to depart early and continues to address priorities such as conflict resolution and climate issues in what he has described as his final year in office. Historical precedent limits most Secretaries-General to two terms, and the structured transition timeline reinforces trader consensus that no resignation or removal will occur before the end of 2026. No recent diplomatic crises, health developments, or institutional pressures have altered this outlook.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,213
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**António Guterres is expected to complete his second five-year term as UN Secretary-General on December 31, 2026.** The selection process for his successor is already underway, with the Security Council and General Assembly advancing nominations and interactive dialogues involving multiple candidates. Official statements and UN procedures confirm that Guterres has not announced intentions to depart early and continues to address priorities such as conflict resolution and climate issues in what he has described as his final year in office. Historical precedent limits most Secretaries-General to two terms, and the structured transition timeline reinforces trader consensus that no resignation or removal will occur before the end of 2026. No recent diplomatic crises, health developments, or institutional pressures have altered this outlook.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,213
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Apr 21, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if António Guterres ceases to be Secretary-General of the United Nations for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of António Guterres's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be official information from António Guterres and the United Nations; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "António Guterres out by December 31?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng "Yes" o "No" shares batay sa kung naniniwala silang mangyayari ang event na ito. Ang kasalukuyang crowd-sourced probability ay 26% para sa "Yes." Halimbawa, kung ang "Yes" ay naka-presyo sa 26¢, ang market ay kolektibong nagtatakda ng 26% na tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Ang "António Guterres out by December 31?" ay isang bagong likhang market sa Polymarket, inilunsad noong Apr 21, 2026. Bilang isang maagang market, ito ang iyong pagkakataon na maging kabilang sa mga unang trader na magtakda ng odds at mag-establish ng mga paunang price signal ng market. Maaari mo ring i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para subaybayan ang volume at trading activity habang lumalaki ang market sa paglipas ng panahon.

Para mag-trade sa "António Guterres out by December 31?," piliin lang kung naniniwala ka na ang sagot ay "Yes" o "No." Ang bawat panig ay may kasalukuyang presyo na sumasalamin sa implied probability ng market. Ilagay ang iyong halaga at i-click ang "Trade." Kung bibili ka ng "Yes" shares at na-resolve ang outcome bilang "Yes," nagbabayad ang bawat share ng $1. Kung na-resolve bilang "No," ang iyong "Yes" shares ay nagkakahalaga ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang probability para sa "António Guterres out by December 31?" ay 26% para sa "Yes." Ibig sabihin nito na kasalukuyang naniniwala ang Polymarket crowd na may 26% tsansa na mangyayari ang event na ito. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time batay sa actual trades, na nagbibigay ng patuloy na ina-update na signal kung ano ang inaasahan ng market na mangyayari.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "António Guterres out by December 31?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.