Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil futures sentiment heading into late May 2026. These events have forced sharp output cuts from Gulf producers, with OPEC+ crude supply falling 1.74 million barrels per day in April and global inventories drawing down rapidly. Lowered 2026 demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA, reflecting higher prices and economic headwinds, add downside pressure, yet prompt-time spreads in WTI futures stay in backwardation near $5 per barrel. Traders are watching for potential gradual resumption of Hormuz flows in June, which could ease the current inventory tightness and moderate June contract prices around recent levels near $105 per barrel.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMakakaapekto ba ang Crude Oil (CL) sa__ sa katapusan ng Hunyo?
$17,184,169 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
20%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
49%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
64%
↑ $105
89%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
44%
↓ $80
37%
↓ $70
13%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
$17,184,169 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
20%
↑ $130
31%
↑ $120
49%
↑ $115
59%
↑ $110
64%
↑ $105
89%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
44%
↓ $80
37%
↓ $70
13%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
2%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Binuksan ang Market: Mar 19, 2026, 1:59 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions from the ongoing Middle East conflict, including the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz, remain the dominant driver of WTI crude oil futures sentiment heading into late May 2026. These events have forced sharp output cuts from Gulf producers, with OPEC+ crude supply falling 1.74 million barrels per day in April and global inventories drawing down rapidly. Lowered 2026 demand growth forecasts from OPEC and the IEA, reflecting higher prices and economic headwinds, add downside pressure, yet prompt-time spreads in WTI futures stay in backwardation near $5 per barrel. Traders are watching for potential gradual resumption of Hormuz flows in June, which could ease the current inventory tightness and moderate June contract prices around recent levels near $105 per barrel.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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