Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, particularly the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices as of mid-May 2026. Brent crude has traded above $105 per barrel recently, with WTI futures (CL) showing similar strength after surging from sub-$70 levels earlier in the year due to production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE totaling over 10 million barrels per day. Global inventories are drawing down sharply, supporting prices near $106 per barrel through June according to the latest EIA outlook, though any progress toward reopening shipping lanes or increased OPEC+ output could ease upward pressure before the end of the month. Traders are also monitoring U.S. inventory reports and demand trends for signals on near-term direction.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateMakakaapekto ba ang Crude Oil (CL) sa__ sa katapusan ng Hunyo?
$17,116,344 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
30%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
58%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
36%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
$17,116,344 Vol.
↑ $200
2%
↑ $175
5%
↑ $150
12%
↑ $140
19%
↑ $130
30%
↑ $120
47%
↑ $115
58%
↑ $110
66%
↑ $105
88%
↓ $90
62%
↓ $85
42%
↓ $80
36%
↓ $70
10%
↓ $60
5%
↓ $55
3%
↓ $52
2%
↓ $50
2%
↓ $47
1%
↓ $45
1%
↓ $40
1%
↓ $35
1%
For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Binuksan ang Market: May 13, 2026, 11:50 AM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...For CME Crude Oil (CL) futures contracts, the active month is the nearest of the contract months listed. The active month becomes a non-active month effective two business days prior to the spot month expiration. For example; if the spot month expires on a Friday the next listed contract will be considered the Active Month on the Wednesday prior to the spot month expiration.
Only the Active Month's official settlement price published by CME Group will be considered. Intraday trades, highs, lows, bids, offers, midpoint values, or indicative prices do not count.
Note that the settlement price may differ from the last traded price. CME's methodology to determine the settlement price can vary by commodity and contract.
Only days on which CME publishes an official settlement price for the Active Month will be included. Days without settlement prices (weekends, holidays, or market closures) are ignored.
This market will resolve based on the settlement price as it appears on the CME settlement page at the time it is first published for that trading day, regardless of any later corrections or updates.
The resolution source for this market is the CME Group website — specifically, the daily "Settlement" price for the Active Month of Crude Oil (CL) futures.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Geopolitical supply disruptions in the Middle East, particularly the effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz amid ongoing U.S.-Iran tensions, remain the dominant driver of crude oil prices as of mid-May 2026. Brent crude has traded above $105 per barrel recently, with WTI futures (CL) showing similar strength after surging from sub-$70 levels earlier in the year due to production shut-ins across Iraq, Saudi Arabia, and the UAE totaling over 10 million barrels per day. Global inventories are drawing down sharply, supporting prices near $106 per barrel through June according to the latest EIA outlook, though any progress toward reopening shipping lanes or increased OPEC+ output could ease upward pressure before the end of the month. Traders are also monitoring U.S. inventory reports and demand trends for signals on near-term direction.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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