Wolves hold the strongest position in the Premier League last-place market at 47.1 percent implied probability due to their league-worst 18 points from 36 matches and -41 goal difference, which leaves little room for improvement in the remaining fixtures. Burnley sits second at 18.9 percent with 21 points and a -36 goal difference after both clubs were mathematically relegated weeks ago, yet Wolves' heavier defeats and fewer wins keep them ahead in the ordering. Recent results, including Burnley's 1-0 loss to Manchester City and Wolves' inability to string together victories, have locked in these standings with minimal chance of reversal before the final matchweek. The wisdom of crowds reflected in the pricing accounts for these concrete table gaps rather than any late surges from either side.