Recent energy price spikes from the Middle East conflict have driven Eurozone headline HICP inflation to 3.2% in August 2026, up from 2.9% in July and well above the ECB’s 2% target. ECB staff projections released September 10 anticipate a 3.0% annual average for 2026, with a 3.6% peak in Q4 amid higher energy, non-energy industrial goods, and food components, following the central bank’s 25-basis-point rate hike. These factors underpin trader consensus around the 3.1%+ outcome at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting upward revisions to near-term inflation paths versus lower-probability bands below 3.0%. Key upcoming data releases through year-end will test the durability of these pressures.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateEurozone Annual Inflation 2026
3.1%+ 88.5%
1.0–1.2% 4.9%
2.5–2.7% 2.5%
2.8-3.0% 2.0%
$115,710 Vol.
$115,710 Vol.
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.2%
5%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
2%
1.9–2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
1%
2.5–2.7%
2%
2.8-3.0%
2%
3.1%+
89%
3.1%+ 88.5%
1.0–1.2% 4.9%
2.5–2.7% 2.5%
2.8-3.0% 2.0%
$115,710 Vol.
$115,710 Vol.
<1.0%
<1%
1.0–1.2%
5%
1.3–1.5%
<1%
1.6–1.8%
2%
1.9–2.1%
1%
2.2–2.4%
1%
2.5–2.7%
2%
2.8-3.0%
2%
3.1%+
89%
This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Binuksan ang Market: Jan 21, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) over the 12-month period ending December 2026, according to the monthly Eurostat report.
The resolution source for this market will be the Eurostat Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices monthly report released for December 2026, currently scheduled to be released on January 19, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
You can find this report on the Eurostat website (https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/en/) by selecting the "Database" option from the "Data" dropdown, opening the "Data navigation tree" folder, then the "Economy and finance" folder, then the "Prices (prc)" folder, then the "Harmonised index of consumer prices (HICP) (prc_hicp)" folder, and opening the file named "HICP - monthly data (annual rate of change) (prc_hicp_manr)". The relevant figure can be found in the column for the relevant month in the row marked "Euro area - 20 countries (from 2023)".
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly Eurostat HICP news release which reports inflation change over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g. 1.9%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the full release schedule, see: https://ec.europa.eu/eurostat/web/main/news/release-calendar or https://www.ecb.europa.eu/press/calendars/statscal/ges/html/sthicp.en.html
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent energy price spikes from the Middle East conflict have driven Eurozone headline HICP inflation to 3.2% in August 2026, up from 2.9% in July and well above the ECB’s 2% target. ECB staff projections released September 10 anticipate a 3.0% annual average for 2026, with a 3.6% peak in Q4 amid higher energy, non-energy industrial goods, and food components, following the central bank’s 25-basis-point rate hike. These factors underpin trader consensus around the 3.1%+ outcome at 88.5% implied probability, reflecting upward revisions to near-term inflation paths versus lower-probability bands below 3.0%. Key upcoming data releases through year-end will test the durability of these pressures.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update



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