Trader consensus slightly favors hosts USA at 40.5% to win Group D ahead of Türkiye at 36%, reflecting the razor-thin margins in a group defined by recent USMNT setbacks offsetting home-soil advantage across matches in Los Angeles, Seattle, and Vancouver. USA's form dipped with 5-2 and 2-0 friendly losses to Belgium and Portugal in March, compounded by fresh injury blows—midfielder Johnny Cardoso sidelined, Christian Pulisic regaining fitness, and Tyler Adams' status uncertain—eroding their edge despite FIFA ranking of 16th. Türkiye's attacking firepower from Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Arda Güler, and Kenan Yıldız, plus playoff momentum, fuels their challenge after a 2-1 friendly win over USA last year. Paraguay's stingy qualifiers defense and Australia's dynamic wing-backs via Nestory Irankunda add upset potential, mirroring tight 2-1 head-to-head friendlies.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateUSA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 8.2%
$43,348 Vol.
$43,348 Vol.
USA
41%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
8%
USA 41%
Türkiye 36%
Paraguay 18%
Australia 8.2%
$43,348 Vol.
$43,348 Vol.
USA
41%
Türkiye
36%
Paraguay
18%
Australia
8%
If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Dec 5, 2025, 7:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If multiple teams tie as group winners, this market will resolve according to the official tiebreak procedure of the 2026 FIFA World Cup.
If the World Cup group stage is cancelled, postponed after September 30, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared for this group within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA (https://www.fifa.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus slightly favors hosts USA at 40.5% to win Group D ahead of Türkiye at 36%, reflecting the razor-thin margins in a group defined by recent USMNT setbacks offsetting home-soil advantage across matches in Los Angeles, Seattle, and Vancouver. USA's form dipped with 5-2 and 2-0 friendly losses to Belgium and Portugal in March, compounded by fresh injury blows—midfielder Johnny Cardoso sidelined, Christian Pulisic regaining fitness, and Tyler Adams' status uncertain—eroding their edge despite FIFA ranking of 16th. Türkiye's attacking firepower from Hakan Çalhanoğlu, Arda Güler, and Kenan Yıldız, plus playoff momentum, fuels their challenge after a 2-1 friendly win over USA last year. Paraguay's stingy qualifiers defense and Australia's dynamic wing-backs via Nestory Irankunda add upset potential, mirroring tight 2-1 head-to-head friendlies.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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