**Traders have priced the cumulative FluSurv-NET influenza-associated hospitalization rate through Week 23, 2026 at 85–90 per 100,000 population with near-certainty (98.6% implied probability).** This reflects the sharp seasonal decline in activity: official CDC surveillance shows weekly rates already at 0.1 per 100,000 by Week 22 (ending June 6), with national laboratory-confirmed admissions falling to a few hundred per week amid summer conditions. Cumulative totals reached 87.5 per 100,000 by Week 22 after a moderate 2025–26 season driven largely by A(H3N2), and minimal new cases are expected before Week 23 data finalize. Historical patterns confirm influenza transmission collapses outside winter months. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome involve major upward data revisions or an anomalous late spike, both considered improbable given current low transmission and surveillance trends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateFlu Hospitalization Rate Week 23, 2026?
85–90 98.6%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
100+ <1%
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
85–90 98.6%
<80 <1%
95–100 <1%
100+ <1%
<80
1%
80–85
<1%
85–90
99%
90–95
<1%
95–100
1%
100+
<1%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 12, 2026, 7:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be CDC FluView / FluSurv-NET (see: https://www.cdc.gov/fluview/index.html). If the FluSurv-NET hospitalization rate for the specified week is not released by 11:59 PM ET on the tenth calendar day following the date of the prior FluView weekly report release, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Note: Only the CDC FluSurv-NET cumulative hospitalization rate per 100,000 population for the specified week will qualify, regardless of estimates, projections, state-level reports, or other influenza surveillance metrics published by the CDC or other sources.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Traders have priced the cumulative FluSurv-NET influenza-associated hospitalization rate through Week 23, 2026 at 85–90 per 100,000 population with near-certainty (98.6% implied probability).** This reflects the sharp seasonal decline in activity: official CDC surveillance shows weekly rates already at 0.1 per 100,000 by Week 22 (ending June 6), with national laboratory-confirmed admissions falling to a few hundred per week amid summer conditions. Cumulative totals reached 87.5 per 100,000 by Week 22 after a moderate 2025–26 season driven largely by A(H3N2), and minimal new cases are expected before Week 23 data finalize. Historical patterns confirm influenza transmission collapses outside winter months. The only realistic scenarios that could shift the outcome involve major upward data revisions or an anomalous late spike, both considered improbable given current low transmission and surveillance trends.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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