Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat on June 9 with a record primary turnout exceeding 150,000 votes for the top candidate. His roughly 72 percent share reflects consolidated support after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April, combined with strong grassroots fundraising, rural endorsements, and backing from figures including Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Traders assign 95.1 percent probability to the 70-75 percent band because preliminary results and historical patterns in ranked-choice voting primaries show limited room for major shifts. Remaining uncertainty stems from final certification, outstanding absentee and provisional ballots, or any successful recount requests that could nudge the precise total outside that narrow range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update70-75% 95.3%
65-70% 2.3%
80-85% 2.0%
75-80% 1.1%
$15,920 Vol.
$15,920 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
<65%
1%
65-70%
2%
70-75%
95%
75-80%
1%
80-85%
2%
85-90%
<1%
90%+
<1%
70-75% 95.3%
65-70% 2.3%
80-85% 2.0%
75-80% 1.1%
$15,920 Vol.
$15,920 Vol.
Jun 9, 2026
<65%
$2,267 Vol.
1%
65-70%
$2,343 Vol.
2%
70-75%
$4,357 Vol.
95%
75-80%
$2,823 Vol.
1%
80-85%
$1,986 Vol.
2%
85-90%
$1,066 Vol.
<1%
90%+
$1,079 Vol.
<1%
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat on June 9 with a record primary turnout exceeding 150,000 votes for the top candidate. His roughly 72 percent share reflects consolidated support after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April, combined with strong grassroots fundraising, rural endorsements, and backing from figures including Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Traders assign 95.1 percent probability to the 70-75 percent band because preliminary results and historical patterns in ranked-choice voting primaries show limited room for major shifts. Remaining uncertainty stems from final certification, outstanding absentee and provisional ballots, or any successful recount requests that could nudge the precise total outside that narrow range.
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Binuksan ang Market: Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ET
Volume
$15,920Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat on June 9 with a record primary turnout exceeding 150,000 votes for the top candidate. His roughly 72 percent share reflects consolidated support after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April, combined with strong grassroots fundraising, rural endorsements, and backing from figures including Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Traders assign 95.1 percent probability to the 70-75 percent band because preliminary results and historical patterns in ranked-choice voting primaries show limited room for major shifts. Remaining uncertainty stems from final certification, outstanding absentee and provisional ballots, or any successful recount requests that could nudge the precise total outside that narrow range.
Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket.
If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.
Volume
$15,920Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jun 9, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Jun 8, 2026, 1:37 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Graham Platner secured the Democratic nomination for Maine’s U.S. Senate seat on June 9 with a record primary turnout exceeding 150,000 votes for the top candidate. His roughly 72 percent share reflects consolidated support after Governor Janet Mills suspended her campaign in late April, combined with strong grassroots fundraising, rural endorsements, and backing from figures including Bernie Sanders and Elizabeth Warren. Traders assign 95.1 percent probability to the 70-75 percent band because preliminary results and historical patterns in ranked-choice voting primaries show limited room for major shifts. Remaining uncertainty stems from final certification, outstanding absentee and provisional ballots, or any successful recount requests that could nudge the precise total outside that narrow range.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mag-ingat sa mga external link.
Mga Madalas na Tanong