Greta Thunberg, a prominent climate and pro-Palestinian activist, has faced multiple detentions during disruptive protests, including recent arrests by UK police in London on December 23, 2025, for supporting Palestine Action under the Terrorism Act, and earlier by Israeli forces during Gaza aid flotillas in 2025. No confirmed arrests or major protest actions have occurred in the past 30 days amid a lull in her public direct actions. Trader consensus reflects this quiet period with low near-term probabilities, but anticipates potential escalation from resumed civil disobedience at climate summits, university occupations, or Middle East solidarity events before June 30 or December 31 deadlines, where local law enforcement intervention remains a historical pattern.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$68,840 Vol.

June 30
10%

December 31
49%
$68,840 Vol.

June 30
10%

December 31
49%
Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Feb 12, 2026, 3:01 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Temporary holding at a detention facility while awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant qualifies, so long as they are held by law enforcement in an official capacity during that time.
A qualifying arrest/detention includes:
* Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement)
* Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant
* Being formally booked or processed following detention
* Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station
* Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney
* Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring
The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention
* An arrest warrant being issued but not executed
* Being questioned or interviewed without arrest
* Being named in an indictment without arrest
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Greta Thunberg, a prominent climate and pro-Palestinian activist, has faced multiple detentions during disruptive protests, including recent arrests by UK police in London on December 23, 2025, for supporting Palestine Action under the Terrorism Act, and earlier by Israeli forces during Gaza aid flotillas in 2025. No confirmed arrests or major protest actions have occurred in the past 30 days amid a lull in her public direct actions. Trader consensus reflects this quiet period with low near-term probabilities, but anticipates potential escalation from resumed civil disobedience at climate summits, university occupations, or Middle East solidarity events before June 30 or December 31 deadlines, where local law enforcement intervention remains a historical pattern.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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