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Politics·Middle East

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

icon for Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?
Politics·Middle East

Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?

Dec 31

Dec 31

$796,161 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$796,161 Vol.

Polymarket

Somaliland

$87,854 Vol.

32%

Lebanon

$68,148 Vol.

25%

Jordan

$2,770 Vol.

16%

Qatar

$72 Vol.

12%

Egypt

$72 Vol.

10%

Azerbaijan

$80,170 Vol.

10%

Saudi Arabia

$185,066 Vol.

10%

Turkey

$591 Vol.

10%

Pakistan

$4,559 Vol.

8%

Kuwait

$51,120 Vol.

8%

Oman

$165,878 Vol.

7%

Syria

$149,860 Vol.

5%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.US diplomatic engagement under the current administration has intensified efforts to expand the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan formally acceding in November 2025 and Somaliland pledging membership after Israel's December 2025 recognition. Trader attention centers on Saudi Arabia, where repeated statements tie normalization to progress on Palestinian statehood, alongside mentions of Qatar, Syria, and Lebanon amid post-conflict diplomacy. Symbolic accessions by other Muslim-majority states with preexisting Israel ties, such as Azerbaijan or additional Central Asian nations, face fewer hurdles than core Arab League members. Key near-term catalysts include any Iran-related ceasefire framework and bilateral talks that could unlock further signatories before the 2027 deadline, though persistent regional tensions continue to shape timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$796,161
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.US diplomatic engagement under the current administration has intensified efforts to expand the Abraham Accords, with Kazakhstan formally acceding in November 2025 and Somaliland pledging membership after Israel's December 2025 recognition. Trader attention centers on Saudi Arabia, where repeated statements tie normalization to progress on Palestinian statehood, alongside mentions of Qatar, Syria, and Lebanon amid post-conflict diplomacy. Symbolic accessions by other Muslim-majority states with preexisting Israel ties, such as Azerbaijan or additional Central Asian nations, face fewer hurdles than core Arab League members. Key near-term catalysts include any Iran-related ceasefire framework and bilateral talks that could unlock further signatories before the 2027 deadline, though persistent regional tensions continue to shape timelines.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation.

The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$796,161
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Dec 31, 2026
Binuksan ang Market
Nov 5, 2025, 1:53 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country formally signs a normalization agreement with Israel under the framework of the Abraham Accords by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A formal signing refers to an official agreement between Israel and another country that is publicly acknowledged by both governments and clearly attributed to the Abraham Accords or their continuation. The resolution source will be official government statements, however a consensus for credible reporting may also be used.

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 12 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "Somaliland" sa 32%, sinusundan ng "Lebanon" sa 25%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 32¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 32% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?" ay naka-generate ng $796.2K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Nov 5, 2025. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?," i-browse ang 12 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?" ay "Somaliland" sa 32%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 32% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "Lebanon" sa 25%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Which country will join Abraham Accords before 2027?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.