Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that links any Israeli withdrawal from positions beyond the Litani River to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces assumption of control in designated pilot zones north and south of the river. The security annex conditions further redeployments on measurable results rather than fixed timelines, reflecting Israeli concerns over Hezbollah rebuilding capabilities. As of mid-September 2026, IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated that the war is not over and that forces will maintain forward positions south of the Litani until Hezbollah is removed and the LAF demonstrates greater effectiveness. Recent incidents, including Israeli forces assuming control of a Lebanese army site near Deir Mimas, underscore ongoing operational activity and limited progress on the pilot zones. Trader pricing for near-term resolution dates remains low, consistent with these conditions-based requirements and persistent security frictions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update$1,367,212 Vol.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
1%
March 31
48%
October 31
6%
December 31
14%
$1,367,212 Vol.
September 30
$9,960 Vol.
1%
March 31
$0 Vol.
48%
October 31
$3,626 Vol.
6%
December 31
$512,409 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that links any Israeli withdrawal from positions beyond the Litani River to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces assumption of control in designated pilot zones north and south of the river. The security annex conditions further redeployments on measurable results rather than fixed timelines, reflecting Israeli concerns over Hezbollah rebuilding capabilities. As of mid-September 2026, IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated that the war is not over and that forces will maintain forward positions south of the Litani until Hezbollah is removed and the LAF demonstrates greater effectiveness. Recent incidents, including Israeli forces assuming control of a Lebanese army site near Deir Mimas, underscore ongoing operational activity and limited progress on the pilot zones. Trader pricing for near-term resolution dates remains low, consistent with these conditions-based requirements and persistent security frictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Binuksan ang Market: Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Volume
$1,367,212Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that links any Israeli withdrawal from positions beyond the Litani River to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces assumption of control in designated pilot zones north and south of the river. The security annex conditions further redeployments on measurable results rather than fixed timelines, reflecting Israeli concerns over Hezbollah rebuilding capabilities. As of mid-September 2026, IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated that the war is not over and that forces will maintain forward positions south of the Litani until Hezbollah is removed and the LAF demonstrates greater effectiveness. Recent incidents, including Israeli forces assuming control of a Lebanese army site near Deir Mimas, underscore ongoing operational activity and limited progress on the pilot zones. Trader pricing for near-term resolution dates remains low, consistent with these conditions-based requirements and persistent security frictions.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel announces it has withdrawn all ground forces from Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is sufficient that Israel announces its ground forces have withdrawn from all Lebanese territory beyond the Litani River, regardless of if some specified territory remains under their control or ground incursions by Israeli forces continue. However, an announcement of a planned or future withdrawal will not suffice.
The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the Israeli government, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting confirming that Israel has withdrawn may also be used.
Volume
$1,367,212Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Sep 1, 2026Binuksan ang Market
Sep 7, 2026, 11:54 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Israeli and Lebanese officials signed a U.S.-brokered framework agreement in June 2026 that links any Israeli withdrawal from positions beyond the Litani River to verifiable Hezbollah disarmament and Lebanese Armed Forces assumption of control in designated pilot zones north and south of the river. The security annex conditions further redeployments on measurable results rather than fixed timelines, reflecting Israeli concerns over Hezbollah rebuilding capabilities. As of mid-September 2026, IDF Chief of Staff Eyal Zamir stated that the war is not over and that forces will maintain forward positions south of the Litani until Hezbollah is removed and the LAF demonstrates greater effectiveness. Recent incidents, including Israeli forces assuming control of a Lebanese army site near Deir Mimas, underscore ongoing operational activity and limited progress on the pilot zones. Trader pricing for near-term resolution dates remains low, consistent with these conditions-based requirements and persistent security frictions.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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