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Teknolohiya·AI

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

icon for Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Teknolohiya·AI

Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?

$107,805 Vol.

Dec 31, 2026
Polymarket

$107,805 Vol.

Polymarket

55%+

$27,696 Vol.

90%

60%+

$45,818 Vol.

44%

65%+

$28,321 Vol.

19%

70%+

$4,458 Vol.

13%

75%+

$1,513 Vol.

8%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, including Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, reflecting sustained gains from iterative releases that emphasize advanced reasoning, adaptive tool use, and multi-step problem solving on the 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark. The exam’s design—crowdsourced from nearly 1,000 domain specialists across math, physics, biology, philosophy, and other fields—resists saturation and internet retrieval, giving models strong at genuine frontier reasoning a measurable edge. OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini models trail on most public snapshots, while Meta’s Muse Spark variants sit just behind the Claude cluster. Remaining 2026 catalysts include potential new Anthropic model drops, updated evaluation protocols, or developer conferences that could shift the recorded high before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$107,805
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://agi.safe.ai/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Anthropic’s latest Claude variants, including Fable 5.1, Opus 5, and Mythos 5, currently lead Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboards with scores of 59–65% as of mid-September 2026, reflecting sustained gains from iterative releases that emphasize advanced reasoning, adaptive tool use, and multi-step problem solving on the 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark. The exam’s design—crowdsourced from nearly 1,000 domain specialists across math, physics, biology, philosophy, and other fields—resists saturation and internet retrieval, giving models strong at genuine frontier reasoning a measurable edge. OpenAI’s GPT-5 series and Google’s Gemini models trail on most public snapshots, while Meta’s Muse Spark variants sit just behind the Claude cluster. Remaining 2026 catalysts include potential new Anthropic model drops, updated evaluation protocols, or developer conferences that could shift the recorded high before year-end resolution.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.

The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Anthropic Claude model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric. The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$107,805
Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027
Binuksan ang Market
Jul 23, 2026, 6:42 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://agi.safe.ai/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

Kaugnay

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Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher?

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Will the highest score achieved by an OpenAI model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 55% or higher?

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Mga Madalas na Tanong

Ang "Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" ay isang prediction market sa Polymarket na may 5 posibleng outcomes kung saan bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares batay sa kanilang pinaniniwalaan na mangyayari. Ang kasalukuyang nangunguna ay "55%+" sa 90%, sinusundan ng "60%+" sa 44%. Ang mga presyo ay sumasalamin sa real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. Halimbawa, ang isang share na naka-presyo sa 90¢ ay nagpapahiwatig na kolektibong itinatakda ng market ang 90% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Patuloy na nagbabago ang mga odds na ito habang tumutugon ang mga trader sa mga bagong development at impormasyon. Ang mga shares sa tamang outcome ay mare-redeem sa $1 bawat isa sa market resolution.

Sa ngayon, ang "Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" ay naka-generate ng $107.8K sa kabuuang trading volume mula nang ilunsad ang market noong Jul 23, 2026. Ang antas na ito ng trading activity ay sumasalamin sa malakas na engagement mula sa Polymarket community at tumutulong na matiyak na ang kasalukuyang odds ay sinusuportahan ng malawak na pool ng mga market participant. Maaari mong subaybayan ang live price movements at mag-trade sa anumang outcome nang direkta sa pahinang ito.

Para mag-trade sa "Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?," i-browse ang 5 available na outcomes na nakalista sa pahinang ito. Ang bawat outcome ay may kasalukuyang presyo na kumakatawan sa implied probability ng market. Para kumuha ng posisyon, piliin ang outcome na pinaniniwalaan mong pinaka-malamang, piliin ang "Yes" para mag-trade pabor dito o "No" para mag-trade laban dito, ilagay ang iyong halaga, at i-click ang "Trade." Kung tama ang iyong napiling outcome kapag na-resolve ang market, nagbabayad ang iyong "Yes" shares ng $1 bawat isa. Kung mali, nagbabayad ang mga ito ng $0. Maaari ka ring magbenta ng iyong shares anumang oras bago ang resolution kung gusto mong i-lock in ang kita o bawasan ang pagkalugi.

Ang kasalukuyang frontrunner para sa "Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" ay "55%+" sa 90%, ibig sabihin itinatakda ng market ang 90% na tsansa sa outcome na iyon. Ang sumunod na pinaka-malapit na outcome ay "60%+" sa 44%. Nag-a-update ang mga odds na ito sa real-time habang bumibili at nagbebenta ang mga trader ng shares, kaya sinasalamin nila ang pinakabagong kolektibong view kung ano ang pinaka-malamang na mangyari. Bumalik nang madalas o i-bookmark ang pahinang ito para sundan kung paano nagbabago ang odds habang lumilitaw ang bagong impormasyon.

Ang mga resolution rules para sa "Highest Claude score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?" ay tiyak na nagde-define kung ano ang kailangang mangyari para sa bawat outcome na maideklara bilang panalo — kasama ang mga opisyal na data source na ginagamit para matukoy ang resulta. Maaari mong i-review ang kumpletong resolution criteria sa "Rules" section sa pahinang ito sa itaas ng mga komento. Inirerekomenda namin na basahin nang mabuti ang mga patakaran bago mag-trade, dahil tinutukoy nila ang mga tiyak na kondisyon, edge cases, at mga source na namamahala kung paano nise-settle ang market na ito.