Google's Gemini models trail current HLE leaders, with recent variants like Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.8 Flash posting scores near 47% on text-only evaluations while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 exceed 64%. The benchmark's 2,500 expert-authored questions across mathematics, physics, and other domains continue to reward multi-step reasoning advances rather than retrieval. Trader sentiment centers on Google's aggressive 2026 release cadence, including mid-August Gemini 3.7 Flash updates and ongoing pre-training for Gemini 4 expected later this year, alongside iterative Flash improvements targeting agentic capabilities. Key catalysts include any verified HLE gains from these efforts before year-end resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Highest Google Gemini score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
$85,137 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
50%+
84%
55%+
37%
60%+
18%
65%+
12%
70%+
4%
$85,137 Vol.
50%+
$29,884 Vol.
84%
55%+
$30,975 Vol.
37%
60%+
$14,703 Vol.
18%
65%+
$5,217 Vol.
12%
70%+
$4,358 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google's Gemini models trail current HLE leaders, with recent variants like Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.8 Flash posting scores near 47% on text-only evaluations while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 exceed 64%. The benchmark's 2,500 expert-authored questions across mathematics, physics, and other domains continue to reward multi-step reasoning advances rather than retrieval. Trader sentiment centers on Google's aggressive 2026 release cadence, including mid-August Gemini 3.7 Flash updates and ongoing pre-training for Gemini 4 expected later this year, alongside iterative Flash improvements targeting agentic capabilities. Key catalysts include any verified HLE gains from these efforts before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ET
Volume
$85,137Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Google's Gemini models trail current HLE leaders, with recent variants like Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.8 Flash posting scores near 47% on text-only evaluations while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 exceed 64%. The benchmark's 2,500 expert-authored questions across mathematics, physics, and other domains continue to reward multi-step reasoning advances rather than retrieval. Trader sentiment centers on Google's aggressive 2026 release cadence, including mid-August Gemini 3.7 Flash updates and ongoing pre-training for Gemini 4 expected later this year, alongside iterative Flash improvements targeting agentic capabilities. Key catalysts include any verified HLE gains from these efforts before year-end resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Google Gemini model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$85,137Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 23, 2026, 6:56 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Google's Gemini models trail current HLE leaders, with recent variants like Gemini 3.1 Pro and 3.8 Flash posting scores near 47% on text-only evaluations while Anthropic's Claude Fable 5.1 and Opus 5 exceed 64%. The benchmark's 2,500 expert-authored questions across mathematics, physics, and other domains continue to reward multi-step reasoning advances rather than retrieval. Trader sentiment centers on Google's aggressive 2026 release cadence, including mid-August Gemini 3.7 Flash updates and ongoing pre-training for Gemini 4 expected later this year, alongside iterative Flash improvements targeting agentic capabilities. Key catalysts include any verified HLE gains from these efforts before year-end resolution.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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