**Grok models from xAI currently trail leading large language models on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark testing graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities.** As of September 2026, top Claude variants from Anthropic (Fable 5.1 at 65%, Opus 5 at 64.7%) lead verified leaderboards, with Meta’s Muse Spark near 62% and OpenAI GPT models around 58%; Grok 4.6/4.7 sit at roughly 42-43%. This gap stems from competitors’ faster advances in reasoning-focused training, scale, and architecture since mid-2025. xAI has delivered steady Grok updates lifting scores from lower baselines, but the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that closing the 20+ point deficit to 55%+ thresholds by year-end remains uncertain without major new releases or breakthroughs. Key upcoming catalysts include any xAI model drops or HLE submissions before December 31, 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Highest Grok score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
$120,872 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
45%+
80%
50%+
48%
55%+
34%
60%+
20%
65%+
4%
$120,872 Vol.
45%+
$44,780 Vol.
80%
50%+
$25,448 Vol.
48%
55%+
$30,050 Vol.
34%
60%+
$17,660 Vol.
20%
65%+
$2,934 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".**Grok models from xAI currently trail leading large language models on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark testing graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities.** As of September 2026, top Claude variants from Anthropic (Fable 5.1 at 65%, Opus 5 at 64.7%) lead verified leaderboards, with Meta’s Muse Spark near 62% and OpenAI GPT models around 58%; Grok 4.6/4.7 sit at roughly 42-43%. This gap stems from competitors’ faster advances in reasoning-focused training, scale, and architecture since mid-2025. xAI has delivered steady Grok updates lifting scores from lower baselines, but the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that closing the 20+ point deficit to 55%+ thresholds by year-end remains uncertain without major new releases or breakthroughs. Key upcoming catalysts include any xAI model drops or HLE submissions before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ET
Volume
$120,872Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".**Grok models from xAI currently trail leading large language models on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark testing graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities.** As of September 2026, top Claude variants from Anthropic (Fable 5.1 at 65%, Opus 5 at 64.7%) lead verified leaderboards, with Meta’s Muse Spark near 62% and OpenAI GPT models around 58%; Grok 4.6/4.7 sit at roughly 42-43%. This gap stems from competitors’ faster advances in reasoning-focused training, scale, and architecture since mid-2025. xAI has delivered steady Grok updates lifting scores from lower baselines, but the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that closing the 20+ point deficit to 55%+ thresholds by year-end remains uncertain without major new releases or breakthroughs. Key upcoming catalysts include any xAI model drops or HLE submissions before December 31, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any SpaceXAI Grok model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$120,872Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 23, 2026, 6:46 PM ETResolution Source
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...**Grok models from xAI currently trail leading large language models on Humanity’s Last Exam (HLE), a 2,500-question expert-authored benchmark testing graduate-level knowledge and multi-step reasoning across math, sciences, and humanities.** As of September 2026, top Claude variants from Anthropic (Fable 5.1 at 65%, Opus 5 at 64.7%) lead verified leaderboards, with Meta’s Muse Spark near 62% and OpenAI GPT models around 58%; Grok 4.6/4.7 sit at roughly 42-43%. This gap stems from competitors’ faster advances in reasoning-focused training, scale, and architecture since mid-2025. xAI has delivered steady Grok updates lifting scores from lower baselines, but the market-implied odds reflect trader consensus that closing the 20+ point deficit to 55%+ thresholds by year-end remains uncertain without major new releases or breakthroughs. Key upcoming catalysts include any xAI model drops or HLE submissions before December 31, 2026.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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