Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3, featuring a 1-million-token context window and Kimi Delta Attention architecture, currently anchors trader sentiment on the market. The model has posted roughly 43.5% on the text-only HLE without tools and up to 56% in tool-augmented or agentic configurations, placing it among the stronger open-weight entries but behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5 leaders at 59–61%. Continued gains depend on Moonshot’s open-weight fine-tuning ecosystem, expanded tool integration, and any K3 variants or successors before year-end, while HLE’s expert-curated difficulty across math, science, and humanities limits rapid saturation. Traders watch for new capability demonstrations or competitive Chinese releases that could shift the frontier before December 31.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-updateHighest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
Highest Kimi score on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026?
$65,890 Vol.
Dec 31, 2026
45%+
87%
50%+
35%
55%+
20%
60%+
11%
65%+
8%
$65,890 Vol.
45%+
$16,158 Vol.
87%
50%+
$26,298 Vol.
35%
55%+
$11,870 Vol.
20%
60%+
$9,733 Vol.
11%
65%+
$1,832 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3, featuring a 1-million-token context window and Kimi Delta Attention architecture, currently anchors trader sentiment on the market. The model has posted roughly 43.5% on the text-only HLE without tools and up to 56% in tool-augmented or agentic configurations, placing it among the stronger open-weight entries but behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5 leaders at 59–61%. Continued gains depend on Moonshot’s open-weight fine-tuning ecosystem, expanded tool integration, and any K3 variants or successors before year-end, while HLE’s expert-curated difficulty across math, science, and humanities limits rapid saturation. Traders watch for new capability demonstrations or competitive Chinese releases that could shift the frontier before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Binuksan ang Market: Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ET
Volume
$65,890Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3, featuring a 1-million-token context window and Kimi Delta Attention architecture, currently anchors trader sentiment on the market. The model has posted roughly 43.5% on the text-only HLE without tools and up to 56% in tool-augmented or agentic configurations, placing it among the stronger open-weight entries but behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5 leaders at 59–61%. Continued gains depend on Moonshot’s open-weight fine-tuning ecosystem, expanded tool integration, and any K3 variants or successors before year-end, while HLE’s expert-curated difficulty across math, science, and humanities limits rapid saturation. Traders watch for new capability demonstrations or competitive Chinese releases that could shift the frontier before December 31.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any Moonshot Kimi model achieves at least the specified accuracy on Humanity’s Last Exam by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
For resolution, “accuracy” refers solely to the value labeled “HLE Accuracy” or a clear equivalent metric if the data’s presentation or terminology is restructured, regardless of the model’s Calibration Error or any other displayed metric.
The resolution source will be the official Humanity’s Last Exam leaderboard at https://agi.safe.ai/. If the resolution source becomes unavailable during the listed timeframe, this market will remain open to allow the relevant data to become available again. If the source remains unavailable after the end of the listed timeframe or is otherwise confirmed to be permanently unavailable, official Humanity’s Last Exam results published elsewhere may be used. If no official alternative source is available, this market will resolve to "No".
Volume
$65,890Petsa ng Pagtatapos
Jan 1, 2027Binuksan ang Market
Jul 23, 2026, 6:43 PM ETResolution Source
https://agi.safe.ai/Resolver
0x65070BE91...Moonshot AI’s July 2026 release of the 2.8-trillion-parameter Kimi K3, featuring a 1-million-token context window and Kimi Delta Attention architecture, currently anchors trader sentiment on the market. The model has posted roughly 43.5% on the text-only HLE without tools and up to 56% in tool-augmented or agentic configurations, placing it among the stronger open-weight entries but behind Anthropic’s Claude Fable 5.1 and Mythos 5 leaders at 59–61%. Continued gains depend on Moonshot’s open-weight fine-tuning ecosystem, expanded tool integration, and any K3 variants or successors before year-end, while HLE’s expert-curated difficulty across math, science, and humanities limits rapid saturation. Traders watch for new capability demonstrations or competitive Chinese releases that could shift the frontier before December 31.
Eksperimental na AI-generated summary na nire-reference ang Polymarket data. Hindi ito trading advice at wala itong papel sa kung paano nire-resolve ang market na ito. · Na-update
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